Mets vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2024 5:00 a.m. ET

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The New York Mets and Brandon Nimmo will square off against the Milwaukee Brewers and Garrett Mitchell on Sunday at 3:10 p.m. ET, at American Family Field. The Mets are favored in this one, at -120, while the underdog Brewers have +100 odds to upset. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +139 odds). An 8-run total is listed for this contest.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:10 p.m. ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to Watch on TV: BSWI

Mets vs. Brewers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Brewers 46%

Mets vs. Brewers Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 56, or 60.2%, of the 93 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York has a record of 45-30 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -120 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Brewers have been underdogs in 68 games this season and have come away with the win 37 times (54.4%) in those contests.
• This year, Milwaukee has won 26 of 47 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.

Sun 7:10 PM

BSWI

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-120

O 8

Milwaukee Brewers

MIL

+1.5

+100

U 8

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were favored on the moneyline in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 5-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor has a team-high batting average of .271.
• Lindor is 17th in home runs and 31st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Pete Alonso has put his power on display as he leads his team with 34 home runs and 88 runs batted in.
• Alonso is 12th in homers in the majors, and 27th in RBI.
• Nimmo has 25 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 77 walks while hitting .224.
• Jesse Winker has 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks while batting .253.

Learn more about this Mets vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• In four games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Brewers had a record of 2-2.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Brewers and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Brewers have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• William Contreras paces the Brewers with a .281 batting average.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Contreras' home run total ranks 49th and his RBI tally ranks 22nd.
• Willy Adames has hit 32 home runs with 112 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Adames is currently 15th in homers and fourth in RBI in the big leagues.
• Jackson Chourio is batting .275 with 29 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks.
• Brice Turang is hitting .254 with 24 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 50 walks.

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 09/29/2024

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