Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 17

Updated Aug. 17, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets take on Lars Nootbaar and the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on Thursday, at 7:15 PM ET. The favored Mets have -118 moneyline odds against the underdog Cardinals, who are listed at -101. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 10.5 runs for the matchup (with -110 odds on the over and -109 odds to go under).

The New York Mets will give the start to Jose Quintana (0-4, 3.03 ERA), who is looking for win No. 1 on the season, and the Cardinals will counter with Adam Wainwright (3-7, 8.77 ERA).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Cardinals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mets vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, August 17, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET
Where: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: FOX

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets	-118	-101	10.5	-110	-109	-1.5	+133	-157

Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction

Score Prediction: Cardinals 7, Mets 6
Total Prediction: Over 10.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Cardinals 48%

Mets vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

The Mets have won 42, or 56.8%, of the 74 games they've played as favorites this season.
New York has a record of 35-31, a 53% win rate, when favored by -118 or more by bookmakers this season.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Mets.
The Cardinals have come away with 24 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
St. Louis has a win-loss record of 19-20 when favored by -101 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets went 3-1 across the four games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total five times.
The Mets have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.6
HR	16
ERA	5.80
K/9	8.9

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Mets Player Insights

Pete Alonso paces the Mets with 36 home runs and 89 runs batted in.
Of all hitters in the majors, Alonso's home run total ranks him third, and his RBI tally puts him fifth.
Lindor is hitting .244 with 26 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 51 walks.
Lindor is 26th in homers and 28th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
Lindor carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with a double, a walk and three RBI.
Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with a team-high batting average of .264.
Nimmo is on an eight-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .333 with a double, two home runs, six walks and three RBI.
Jeff McNeil is hitting .257 with 17 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 34 walks.

Mets Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Daniel Vogelbach	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+140)
Jeff McNeil	1.5 (+140)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+135)
Francisco Lindor	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-125)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+125)
Brandon Nimmo	1.5 (+150)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+175)
Pete Alonso	0.5 (-294)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+110)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Cardinals matchup on Fox Sports.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

In three games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Cardinals had a record of 2-1.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Cardinals and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
The Cardinals have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	14
ERA	4.40
K/9	7.7

Cardinals Player Insights

Nolan Arenado leads the lineup with a batting average of .287, and paces the Cardinals in home runs, with 25 and runs batted in with 84.
Among all batters in the big leagues, Arenado is 16th in homers and seventh in RBI.
Paul Goldschmidt is batting .278 with 25 doubles, 19 home runs and 64 walks.
Goldschmidt is 46th in home runs and 53rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Nootbaar is batting .283 with 19 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 54 walks.
Tommy Edman has 18 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 26 walks while hitting .249.

Cardinals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Nolan Arenado	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+115)
Willson Contreras	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+130)
Tyler O'Neill	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+130)
Tommy Edman	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+195)
Paul Goldschmidt	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+155)

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