Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Updated Sep. 11, 2023 6:11 p.m. ET

share

facebookxredditlink

Christian Walker and Brandon Nimmo will hit the field when the Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets meet on Monday at Citi Field. Bookmakers list the Mets as -129 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Diamondbacks +109 moneyline odds. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for this matchup (with -104 odds to go over and -116 odds on the under).

The Mets will start Jose Quintana (2-5) against the Diamondbacks and Zach Davies (2-5).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, September 11, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: SNY

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Diamondbacks 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Diamondbacks 48%

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 46, or 56.8%, of the 81 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York is 29-30 this season when entering a game favored by -129 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 56.3%.
• The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 78 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (46.2%) in those games.
• Arizona has a mark of 23-32 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 47.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 1-2 record from the three games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Place your bets on Mets vs. Diamondbacks now with FOX Bet!

Mets Player Insights

• Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 43 home runs and 103 runs batted in.
• Alonso's home runs put him third in MLB, and he ranks second in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .252 with 32 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 55 walks.
• Lindor ranks 27th in homers and 27th in RBI on the season.
• Lindor carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with three doubles, a home run and four RBI.
• Nimmo has 23 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 67 walks while batting .262.
• Nimmo will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .261 with a double, three home runs and three RBI.
• Jeff McNeil is hitting .265 to pace his team.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• The Diamondbacks have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Corbin Carroll paces the Diamondbacks with a team-leading batting average of .286.
• In all of the big leagues, Carroll is 38th in homers and 71st in RBI.
• Carroll has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .389 with a walk and an RBI.
• Walker has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 30 home runs and 91 runs batted in.
• Walker is 15th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 16th in RBI.
• Ketel Marte has 24 doubles, eight triples, 22 home runs and 61 walks while hitting .275.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .259 with 32 doubles, two triples, 23 home runs and 31 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Mets vs Diamondbacks!

share

in this topic

Major League Baseball

New York Mets

Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets - 09/11/2023

Gambling