Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

Updated Sep. 12, 2023 10:01 a.m. ET

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Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets take on the Arizona Diamondbacks and starter Ryne Nelson on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET at Citi Field. The Mets are favored in this one, at -110, while the underdog Diamondbacks have -110 odds to upset. Arizona (-1.5) is favored on the run line. A 10-run over/under is set for the game.

The Mets will give the ball to Jose Butto (0-2) versus the Diamondbacks and Nelson (7-7).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, September 12, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: SNY

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Diamondbacks 4
• Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Diamondbacks 48%

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 82 games this season and won 46 (56.1%) of those contests.
• New York has a record of 46-36 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -110 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%.
• The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 37, or 46.8%, of the 79 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Arizona has come away with a win 37 times in 79 chances when named as an underdog of at least -110 or longer on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 52.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets played as the moneyline favorite in four of their last 10 games, and went 1-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Mets' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Place your bets on Mets vs. Diamondbacks now with FOX Bet!

Mets Player Insights

• Pete Alonso has gone yard 43 times in the 2023 campaign while driving in 103 runs, both totals that lead the Mets.
• Of all batters in the majors, Alonso ranks third in home runs and second in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has 32 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 55 walks while batting .250.
• Lindor ranks 28th in home runs and 29th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .262 with 23 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 67 walks.
• Nimmo is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .182 with a double, a home run and an RBI.
• Jeff McNeil's .268 batting average is a team-high mark.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a record of 3-2.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
• The Diamondbacks have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Corbin Carroll leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .283.
• Among all batters in MLB, Carroll's home run total is 40th and his RBI tally is 72nd.
• Ketel Marte has 25 doubles, eight triples, 22 home runs and 61 walks while batting .277.
• Marte is currently 53rd in homers and 47th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Christian Walker has been solid source of run production for the Diamondbacks with 30 long balls and 91 runs batted in.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .258 with 32 doubles, two triples, 23 home runs and 32 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Mets vs Diamondbacks!

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