Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

Updated Sep. 12, 2023 10:01 a.m. ET

Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets take on the Arizona Diamondbacks and starter Ryne Nelson on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET at Citi Field. The Mets are favored in this one, at -110, while the underdog Diamondbacks have -110 odds to upset. Arizona (-1.5) is favored on the run line. A 10-run over/under is set for the game.

The Mets will give the ball to Jose Butto (0-2) versus the Diamondbacks and Nelson (7-7).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Tuesday, September 12, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: SNY
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
PUSH -110 -110 10 -106 -114 -1.5 -173 +146

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Diamondbacks 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Diamondbacks 48%

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Mets have been favorites in 82 games this season and won 46 (56.1%) of those contests.
  • New York has a record of 46-36 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -110 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%.
  • The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 37, or 46.8%, of the 79 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Arizona has come away with a win 37 times in 79 chances when named as an underdog of at least -110 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 52.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets played as the moneyline favorite in four of their last 10 games, and went 1-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
  • The Mets' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 19
ERA 4.19
K/9 9.5

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Mets Player Insights

  • Pete Alonso has gone yard 43 times in the 2023 campaign while driving in 103 runs, both totals that lead the Mets.
  • Of all batters in the majors, Alonso ranks third in home runs and second in RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor has 32 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 55 walks while batting .250.
  • Lindor ranks 28th in home runs and 29th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Brandon Nimmo is batting .262 with 23 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 67 walks.
  • Nimmo is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .182 with a double, a home run and an RBI.
  • Jeff McNeil's .268 batting average is a team-high mark.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-286) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+155)
Jeff McNeil 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+180)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+215)
Omar Narváez 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+290)
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+180)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a record of 3-2.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
  • The Diamondbacks have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 10
ERA 3.60
K/9 8.2

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Corbin Carroll leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .283.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Carroll's home run total is 40th and his RBI tally is 72nd.
  • Ketel Marte has 25 doubles, eight triples, 22 home runs and 61 walks while batting .277.
  • Marte is currently 53rd in homers and 47th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Christian Walker has been solid source of run production for the Diamondbacks with 30 long balls and 91 runs batted in.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .258 with 32 doubles, two triples, 23 home runs and 32 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Christian Walker 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+140)
Tommy Pham 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+140)
Alek Thomas 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+180)
Ketel Marte 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+150)
Seby Zavala 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+255)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Mets vs Diamondbacks!

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