Mets vs. Dodgers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 16

Mets vs. Dodgers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 16

Updated Jul. 16, 2023 5:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets take on Freddie Freeman and the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday at 5:10 PM ET. The Dodgers are -103 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Mets (-116). Los Angeles is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). An 8.5-run over/under is set for this matchup.

The Mets will give the ball to Max Scherzer (8-3) versus the Dodgers and Bobby Miller (5-1).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Dodgers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mets vs. Dodgers Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, July 16, 2023 at 5:10 PM ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -116 -103 8.5 -118 -102 -1.5 -193 +158

Mets vs. Dodgers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities:

Mets vs. Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Mets have won 32, or 54.2%, of the 59 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • New York is 29-26 this season when entering a game favored by -116 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • The Dodgers have come away with seven wins in the 14 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Los Angeles has won five of 11 games when listed as at least -103 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Dodgers have a 50.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets have a 4-1 record across the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Mets' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 15
ERA 3.13
K/9 9.7

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Mets Player Insights

  • Lindor is batting .235 with 20 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 38 walks.
  • In all of MLB, Lindor ranks 16th in home runs and 13th in RBI.
  • Pete Alonso's 26 home runs and 61 RBI are both team-highs.
  • Alonso ranks fourth in homers and 12th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with a .266 batting average.
  • Nimmo is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .158 with a double, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
  • Jeff McNeil has 13 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 27 walks while batting .248.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tommy Pham 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+205)
Jeff McNeil 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+150)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+155)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+185)
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+115)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Dodgers matchup on Fox Sports.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Dodgers have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Dodgers and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Dodgers have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6
HR 21
ERA 3.99
K/9 9.6

Dodgers Player Insights

  • Mookie Betts has managed a team-leading 27 home runs and has driven in 64 runs.
  • Betts ranks third in home runs and seventh in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Betts carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .571 with three doubles, four home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
  • Freeman's .320 batting average leads his team.
  • Freeman ranks 24th overall in home runs and 10th in RBI this season.
  • Will Smith is batting .273 with 10 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 44 walks.
  • J.D. Martinez has driven in the most runs for the Dodgers with 64 runs batted in.

Dodgers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
David Peralta 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+165)
Freddie Freeman 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+160)
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+145)
Miguel Rojas 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+245)
Mookie Betts 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+320) 0.5 (+145)

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