Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 16

Updated Aug. 16, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Roddery Munoz gets the nod for the Miami Marlins on Friday at Citi Field against Mark Vientos and the New York Mets. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET for the first game of a three-game series. The Marlins have been listed as +210 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Mets (-259). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with -119 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for this game (with -105 odds to hit the over and -115 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Oakland Athletics vs. New York Mets highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Oakland Athletics took on the New York Mets in this regular season matchup.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, August 16, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Marlins 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 58%, Marlins 42%

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 68 times this season and won 37, or 54.4%, of those games.
• New York has played as favorites of -259 or more once this season and won that game.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 72.1%.
• The Marlins have been underdogs in 105 games this season and have come away with the win 41 times (39%) in those contests.
• This year, Miami has won three of nine games when listed as at least +210 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 32.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

MIA 3 · NYM 7

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+210

O 8.5

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-260

U 8.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 3-3 record from the six games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor paces the Mets in runs batted in (69) and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .263.
• Including all MLB hitters, Lindor is 50th in batting average, 45th in on-base percentage, and 39th in slugging.
• Lindor has collected a hit in nine games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .341 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
• Pete Alonso's 26 home runs lead his team.
• Alonso ranks 11th in home runs and 33rd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Brandon Nimmo has 21 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 65 walks while hitting .226.
• Jesse Winker is batting .260 with 20 doubles, 11 home runs and 54 walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Marlins have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Jake Burger paces the Marlins with 23 home runs and 54 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .253.
• In all of MLB, Burger is 21st in homers and 71st in RBI.
• Burger has collected a hit in seven straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .350 with a double, six home runs, three walks and eight RBI.
• Jesus Sanchez is hitting .242 with 18 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 24 walks.
• Sanchez is 87th in home runs and 99th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Xavier Edwards is hitting .358 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and 23 walks.
• Otto Lopez is batting .229 with nine doubles, three home runs and 11 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Oakland Athletics vs. New York Mets highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Oakland Athletics took on the New York Mets in this regular season matchup.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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