Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 17

Updated Aug. 17, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets play Jake Burger and the Miami Marlins at Citi Field on Saturday. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Bookmakers list the Mets as -189 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Marlins +160 moneyline odds. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for this matchup (with -103 odds to go over and -117 odds on the under).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Miami Marlins and the New York Mets.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, August 17, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: SNY

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 57%, Marlins 43%

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 69 times and won 38, or 55.1%, of those games.
• New York has entered nine games this season favored by -189 or more and is 6-3 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 65.4% chance to win.
• The Marlins have been underdogs in 106 games this season and have come away with the win 41 times (38.7%) in those contests.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win 11 times in 34 chances when named as an underdog of at least +160 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 38.5% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

MIA 0 · NYM 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+160

O 8.5

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-189

U 8.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to go over the run total five times.
• The Mets have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Lindor leads the Mets with 70 runs batted in while accumulating a team-high batting average of .263.
• Of all batters in baseball, Lindor's home run total ranks him 22nd, and his RBI tally ranks him 26th.
• Lindor has collected a hit in 10 straight games. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .356 with three doubles, a triple, a home run, two walks and six RBI.
• Pete Alonso has hit 26 home runs to lead his team.
• Alonso is 11th in homers and 34th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Brandon Nimmo paces the Mets with 70 runs batted in.
• Jesse Winker is batting .261 with 20 doubles, 11 home runs and 55 walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over twice.
• The Marlins have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Burger leads the squad with a batting average of .253, and paces the Marlins in home runs, with 24 and runs batted in with 55.
• In all of the majors, Burger ranks 21st in home runs and 69th in RBI.
• Burger carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .366 with a double, seven home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
• Jesus Sanchez has 18 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 24 walks while batting .242.
• Sanchez ranks 87th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 102nd in RBI.
• Xavier Edwards is hitting .358 with seven doubles, a triple, a home run and 24 walks.
• Otto Lopez is hitting .230 with nine doubles, three home runs and 12 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Miami Marlins and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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