Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 18

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 18

Updated Aug. 18, 2024 12:00 p.m. ET

Jake Burger will lead the Miami Marlins into a matchup with Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets on Sunday at 12:05 p.m. ET, in the final game of a three-game series at Citi Field. The Mets are favored in this one, at -196, while the underdog Marlins have +163 odds to upset. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +107 odds). The game's total has been listed at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Miami Marlins and New York Mets.
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Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, August 18, 2024 at 12:05 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: Roku
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -196 +163 8.5 -103 -117 -1.5 +107 -128

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Marlins 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mets 59%, Marlins 41%

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Mets have entered the game as favorites 70 times this season and won 39, or 55.7%, of those games.
  • This season New York has won six of its seven games when favored by at least -196 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 66.2% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • The Marlins have been victorious in 41, or 38.3%, of the 107 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Miami has won 11 of 33 games when listed as at least +163 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 38% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
MIA 3 · NYM 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Miami Marlins
MIA
New York Mets
NYM

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets were favored on the moneyline in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 5-2 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Mets have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 12
ERA 4.45
K/9 9.6

Mets Player Insights

  • Lindor has a team-high batting average of .265 while leading the Mets in runs batted in (71).
  • Lindor is 21st in homers and 26th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Lindor brings a hitting streak of 11 games into this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .395 with three doubles, a triple, two home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
  • Pete Alonso's 27 home runs lead his team.
  • Alonso is 11th in homers and 32nd in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Brandon Nimmo is batting .228 with 21 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 65 walks.
  • Nimmo has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .158 with a triple, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
  • Jesse Winker is hitting .261 with 20 doubles, 11 home runs and 55 walks.
  • Winker is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .294 with a double, a walk and two RBI.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+140)
Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+160)
Starling Marte 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+180)
José Iglesias 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+185)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+145)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
  • The Marlins have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 13
ERA 5.90
K/9 7.5

Marlins Player Insights

  • Burger leads the Marlins with 24 home runs and 55 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .254.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Burger is 21st in home runs and 70th in RBI.
  • Burger brings a hitting streak of nine games into this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .385 with two doubles, seven home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
  • Jesus Sanchez is hitting .239 with 18 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 24 walks.
  • Sanchez is 87th overall in homers and 104th in RBI this year.
  • Xavier Edwards is hitting .348 with seven doubles, a triple, a home run and 24 walks.
  • Otto Lopez is batting .232 with 10 doubles, three home runs and 12 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Xavier Edwards 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+280)
Jake Burger 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+155)
Jonah Bride 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (-190) - 0.5 (+220)
Nick Fortes 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) - 0.5 (+290)
Kyle Stowers 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) - 0.5 (+240)

Marlins vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Miami Marlins and New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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