Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 19

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 19

Updated Jul. 19, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Edward Cabrera gets the nod for the Miami Marlins on Friday at LoanDepot park against Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET for the first game of a four-game series. Bookmakers list the Mets as -134 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Marlins +113 moneyline odds. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for the contest (with -107 odds to go over and -113 odds to go under).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets' Edwin Díaz is ejected from game vs. Cubs after umpire checks him for sticky substance

The New York Mets' Edwin Díaz was ejected from game vs. the Chicago Cubs after the umpire checked him for a sticky substance.
ADVERTISEMENT

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, July 19, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: BSFL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -134 +113 8 -107 -113 -1.5 +127 -152

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Marlins 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Marlins 48%

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Mets have been favorites in 50 games this season and won 28 (56%) of those contests.
  • New York has a record of 13-9 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -134 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.3% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • The Marlins have come away with 29 wins in the 80 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Miami has been victorious 22 times in 62 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 46.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
NYM 4 · MIA 6
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Mets
NYM
Miami Marlins
MIA

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets have a 7-1 record over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.
  • The Mets have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 12
ERA 5.11
K/9 9.4

Mets Player Insights

  • Lindor's .253 average leads the Mets this year. His resume also includes 17 homers and driven in 52 RBI.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Lindor ranks 73rd in batting average, 58th in on-base percentage, and 47th in slugging.
  • Lindor takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a home run, seven walks and four RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo has capitalized on opportunities as he leads his team with 63 RBI.
  • Of all major league hitters, Nimmo is 32nd in homers and 10th in RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has launched a team-high 19 home runs.
  • Alonso will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Harrison Bader has 15 doubles, eight home runs and 13 walks while batting .273.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Francisco Álvarez 0.5 (-205) 1.5 () 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+180)
José Iglesias 1.5 () 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+200)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-210) 1.5 () 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+175)
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-200) 1.5 () 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+155)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • In eight games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 2-6.
  • The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Marlins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 10
ERA 4.81
K/9 8.9

Marlins Player Insights

  • Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins with a team-leading batting average of .249.
  • Chisholm's home run total places him 74th in MLB, and he ranks 82nd in RBI.
  • Bryan De La Cruz been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 16 home runs and 44 RBI.
  • De La Cruz ranks 32nd among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 68th in RBI.
  • Josh Bell is hitting .228 with 17 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 27 walks.
  • Jesus Sanchez is hitting .245 with 14 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 16 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryan De La Cruz 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+215)
Otto Lopez 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+240)
Jake Burger 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+170)
Xavier Edwards 0.5 (-180) 0.5 (-180) - 0.5 (+270)
Nick Fortes 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+265)

Giants vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the San Francisco Giants took on the Miami Marlins in this regular season matchup.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
share