Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 20

Updated Jul. 20, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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Luis Severino starts for the New York Mets on Saturday at LoanDepot park against Jazz Chisholm and the Miami Marlins. First pitch is at 4:10 PM ET for the second game of a four-game series. Bookmakers list the Mets as -164 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Marlins +138 moneyline odds. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with -102 odds). A 9-run over/under has been set in the matchup.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Miami Marlins on Friday, July 19.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, July 20, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: WPIX

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Marlins 47%

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 28 out of the 51 games, or 54.9%, in which they've been favored.
• New York is 4-2 this season when entering a game favored by -164 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.1% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Marlins have been underdogs in 81 games this season and have come away with the win 30 times (37%) in those contests.
• Miami has a mark of 11-25 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +138 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 42% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

NYM 1 · MIA 0

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-167

O 9

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+140

U 9

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets played as the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and they went 7-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Mets have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor's .254 average leads the Mets this year. His resume also includes 17 homers and driven in 52 RBI.
• Among all MLB batters, Lindor ranks 72nd in batting average, 55th in on-base percentage, and 46th in slugging.
• Lindor carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a home run, nine walks and four RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has put up 63 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Nimmo ranks 34th in home runs and 12th in RBI in the bigs.
• Pete Alonso has launched a team-high 19 home runs.
• Jeff McNeil has 14 doubles, seven home runs and 22 walks while batting .223.
• McNeil is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .353 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and six RBI.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
• The Marlins have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Chisholm leads the Marlins with a team-leading batting average of .251.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Chisholm's home run total is 76th and his RBI tally is 85th.
• Bryan De La Cruz has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 16 home runs and 44 runs batted in.
• De La Cruz is currently 34th in homers and 68th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Josh Bell is batting .228 with 17 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 27 walks.
• Jesus Sanchez is hitting .245 with 14 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 16 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Mets vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Miami Marlins on Friday, July 19.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins - 07/20/2024