Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 21

Updated Jul. 21, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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Christian Scott gets the start for the New York Mets on Sunday at LoanDepot park against Jake Burger and the Miami Marlins. First pitch is at 1:40 PM ET. The favored Mets have -143 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +121. New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. An 8.5-run over/under has been set for the matchup.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 21, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Marlins 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Marlins 48%

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 29 out of the 52 games, or 55.8%, in which they've been favored.
• New York has a record of 10-6 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -143 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 82 games this year and have walked away with the win 30 times (36.6%) in those games.
• Miami has a mark of 18-37 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +121 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

NYM 2 · MIA 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-143

O 8.5

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+121

U 8.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 7-2 record across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
• The Mets have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor's .254 average leads the Mets this year. His resume also includes 17 homers and driven in 52 RBI.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Lindor ranks 27th in homers and 35th in RBI.
• Lindor carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .375 with a home run, nine walks and four RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 63 runs batted in.
• Nimmo is 35th in home runs in MLB, and 14th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso has launched a team-high 19 home runs.
• Jeff McNeil is hitting .220 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 22 walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Jazz Chisholm paces the Marlins with a .248 batting average.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Chisholm ranks 79th in home runs and 87th in RBI.
• Bryan De La Cruz has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 16 home runs and 44 RBI.
• De La Cruz is 35th among all batters in the majors in homers, and 71st in RBI.
• Josh Bell is batting .226 with 17 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 28 walks.
• Jesus Sanchez is batting .249 with 14 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 16 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Mets vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins - 07/21/2024