Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 21
Christian Scott gets the start for the New York Mets on Sunday at LoanDepot park against Jake Burger and the Miami Marlins. First pitch is at 1:40 PM ET. The favored Mets have -143 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +121. New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. An 8.5-run over/under has been set for the matchup.
Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Mets vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX
Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds
- When: Sunday, July 21, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
- Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: BSFL
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mets | -143 | +121 | 8.5 | -111 | -110 | -1.5 | +114 | -135 |
Mets vs. Marlins Prediction
- Score Prediction: Mets 6, Marlins 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Marlins 48%
Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights
- This season, the Mets have won 29 out of the 52 games, or 55.8%, in which they've been favored.
- New York has a record of 10-6 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -143 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Mets.
- The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 82 games this year and have walked away with the win 30 times (36.6%) in those games.
- Miami has a mark of 18-37 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +121 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Mets Recent Betting Performance
- The Mets have a 7-2 record across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
- The Mets have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Mets Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 7-3 |
Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
HR | 13 |
ERA | 4.09 |
K/9 | 10.0 |
Mets Player Insights
- Francisco Lindor's .254 average leads the Mets this year. His resume also includes 17 homers and driven in 52 RBI.
- Among all hitters in baseball, Lindor ranks 27th in homers and 35th in RBI.
- Lindor carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .375 with a home run, nine walks and four RBI.
- Brandon Nimmo has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 63 runs batted in.
- Nimmo is 35th in home runs in MLB, and 14th in RBI.
- Pete Alonso has launched a team-high 19 home runs.
- Jeff McNeil is hitting .220 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 22 walks.
Mets Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tyrone Taylor | 0.5 (-190) | 1.5 () | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+175) |
José Iglesias | 0.5 () | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+1000) | 0.5 (+195) |
Francisco Lindor | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (-105) | 0.5 (+400) | 0.5 (+145) |
Pete Alonso | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+155) |
Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+185) |
Learn more about this Mets vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.
Marlins Recent Betting Performance
- The Marlins have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Marlins have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Marlins Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 4-6 |
Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
HR | 10 |
ERA | 4.66 |
K/9 | 8.3 |
Marlins Player Insights
- Jazz Chisholm paces the Marlins with a .248 batting average.
- Among all hitters in the big leagues, Chisholm ranks 79th in home runs and 87th in RBI.
- Bryan De La Cruz has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 16 home runs and 44 RBI.
- De La Cruz is 35th among all batters in the majors in homers, and 71st in RBI.
- Josh Bell is batting .226 with 17 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 28 walks.
- Jesus Sanchez is batting .249 with 14 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 16 walks.
Marlins Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+170) |
Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 (-190) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+225) |
Jesús Sánchez | 0.5 (-195) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+210) |
Jake Burger | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+175) |
Otto Lopez | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+150) | 0.5 (+750) | 0.5 (+240) |
Mets vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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