Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 22

Updated Jul. 22, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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The Miami Marlins and Jake Burger take the field against Brandon Nimmo and the New York Mets on Monday, in the final game of a four-game series at LoanDepot park. The favored Mets have -148 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +125. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +110 odds). The total for the game has been set at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the New York Mets and the Miami Marlins.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, July 22, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Marlins 47%

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 53 times this season and won 29, or 54.7%, of those games.
• New York has entered 10 games this season favored by -148 or more and is 7-3 in those contests.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 59.7% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Marlins have been underdogs in 83 games this season and have come away with the win 31 times (37.3%) in those contests.
• This season, Miami has been victorious 16 times in 50 chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 44.4% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

NYM 6 · MIA 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-147

O 8.5

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+124

U 8.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and they went 6-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
• The Mets are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with a team-best batting average of .253.
• Lindor ranks 28th in home runs and 37th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Lindor takes a hitting streak of six games into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .286 with two home runs, 11 walks and seven RBI.
• Nimmo's 63 runs batted in are a team-high mark.
• Nimmo is 35th in home runs and 15th in RBI on the season.
• Pete Alonso has hit a team-high 19 home runs.
• Alonso will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
• Jeff McNeil is hitting .220 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 22 walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Jazz Chisholm paces the Marlins with 45 runs batted in while accumulating a team-best batting average of .251.
• In all of the big leagues, Chisholm ranks 68th in home runs and 67th in RBI.
• Bryan De La Cruz's 16 home runs pace his team.
• De La Cruz is 35th in home runs and 75th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Josh Bell is hitting .224 with 17 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 29 walks.
• Jesus Sanchez is batting .246 with 14 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 16 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Mets vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the New York Mets and the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins - 07/22/2024

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