Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 11

Updated Jun. 11, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets square off against the Miami Marlins and starter Jesus Luzardo on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET at Citi Field. The Mets are -154 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Marlins (+130). New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 7.5-run total is set for the contest.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Colin Cowherd defends relief pitcher Jorge Lopez after getting ejected at third base umpire Ramon De Jesus over an appealed ruling on Freddie Freeman's checked swing. He then threw his glove into the stands and the New York Mets have designated him for assignment.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, June 11, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets	-154	+130	7.5	-107	-113	-1.5	+143	-172

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Mets 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mets 56%, Marlins 44%

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Mets have been favored 28 times and won 14, or 50%, of those games.
New York has played as favorites of -154 or more once this season and lost that game.
The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 60.6%.
The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 51 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (37.3%) in those games.
This year, Miami has won seven of 22 games when listed as at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 43.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets were the moneyline favorite in four of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-1 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
The Mets' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.6
HR	12
ERA	5.50
K/9	8

Mets Player Insights

The Mets' best power option comes in the form of Pete Alonso and his 14-home-run 32-RBI season, both team highs.
In all of Major League Baseball, Alonso is 12th in homers and 50th in RBI.
Francisco Lindor is batting .235 with 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 20 walks.
Lindor ranks 39th in home runs and 58th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with 32 runs batted in.
Nimmo will look to build on his six-game hitting in this game. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .250 with three doubles, a triple, a walk and three RBI.
Starling Marte is hitting .280 to lead his team.
Marte has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .421 with a double, two triples, two walks and seven RBI.

Learn more about this Mets vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 3-7.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
The Marlins have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.1
HR	8
ERA	4.96
K/9	7.2

Marlins Player Insights

Jazz Chisholm has a team-leading 31 runs batted in.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Chisholm's home run total is 54th and his RBI tally is 58th.
Chisholm has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.
Josh Bell's 31 runs batted in and .252 batting average are both team-highs.
Bell ranks 84th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 58th in RBI.
Bryan De La Cruz has 11 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
Jesus Sanchez is hitting .239 with six doubles, four home runs and 10 walks.