Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 12

Updated Jun. 12, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Miami Marlins and Josh Bell take the field against Pete Alonso and the New York Mets on Wednesday, in the second game of a three-game series at Citi Field. Bookmakers list the Mets as -154 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Marlins +130 moneyline odds. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +142 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for this contest (with -114 odds to hit the over and -106 odds to go under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Miami Marlins and the New York Mets.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, June 12, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets	-154	+130	7.5	-114	-106	-1.5	+142	-169

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Mets 6, Marlins 5
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mets 55%, Marlins 45%

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Mets have won 14 out of the 29 games, or 48.3%, in which they've been favored.
New York has played as favorites of -154 or more twice this season and lost both games.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Mets.
The Marlins have been victorious in 20, or 38.5%, of the 52 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Miami has a win-loss record of 7-15 when favored by +130 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets went 3-2 over the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
The Mets' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.5
HR	11
ERA	4.80
K/9	8.4

Mets Player Insights

Francisco Lindor has 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 20 walks while hitting .231.
Among all MLB batters, Lindor ranks 112th in batting average, 117th in on-base percentage, and 85th in slugging.
Alonso's 14 home runs and 32 runs batted in are both team-highs.
Alonso is 13th in home runs in the majors, and 52nd in RBI.
Starling Marte has accumulated a team-high batting average of .284.
Marte has at least one base hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .421 with a double, a triple, a walk and three RBI.
Brandon Nimmo's 32 runs batted in pace his team.

Learn more about this Mets vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 4-6.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Marlins have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.5
HR	8
ERA	4.70
K/9	7.3

Marlins Player Insights

Jazz Chisholm has a team-high 31 runs batted in.
Among all hitters in the majors, Chisholm is 56th in homers and 63rd in RBI.
Bell has 31 RBI while batting .249. Each pace his team.
Bell is 85th overall in home runs and 63rd in RBI this year.
Bryan De La Cruz has put up a team-high batting average of .249, while pacing the Marlins in home runs (11).
Jesus Sanchez is batting .239 with seven doubles, four home runs and 10 walks.