Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 18

Updated May. 18, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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Braxton Garrett gets the nod on the mound for the Miami Marlins against the New York Mets and Pete Alonso on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Mets as -123 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Marlins +104 moneyline odds to win. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5). A 7.5-run over/under has been set in the matchup.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins game on Friday, May 17.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 18, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: WPIX

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Marlins 5
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Marlins 49%

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 10, or 50%, of the 20 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season New York has won six of its 13 games, or 46.2%, when favored by at least -123 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 32 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (34.4%) in those games.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 10-19 when favored by +104 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 49% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL (10)

NYM 9 · MIA 10

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-123

O 7.5

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+104

U 7.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• In the last 10 games, the Mets have been listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers just two times, and they lost both games.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
• The Mets' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Alonso has left the yard 10 times this season, the highest mark on the Mets, while hitting .226 with 23 RBI.
• Including all MLB hitters, Alonso ranks 120th in batting average, 104th in on-base percentage, and 49th in slugging.
• Alonso has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has capitalized on opportunities as he leads his team with 27 runs batted in.
• Nimmo ranks 57th in home runs and 32nd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Francisco Lindor has eight doubles, seven home runs and 15 walks while batting .195.
• Starling Marte is hitting .255 to lead his team.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Marlins have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Bryan De La Cruz paces the Marlins in home runs (nine), runs batted in (25) and has a team-best batting average of .257.
• De La Cruz's home run total places him 19th in the majors, and he ranks 37th in RBI.
• Jazz Chisholm is hitting .250 with eight doubles, two triples, five home runs and 18 walks.
• Chisholm is 75th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 68th in RBI.
• Josh Bell is batting .218 with six doubles, five home runs and 18 walks.
• Nick Gordon is hitting .225 with three doubles, five home runs and four walks.

Marlins Team Props

Mets vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins game on Friday, May 17.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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