Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 19

Updated May. 19, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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Pete Alonso and Jazz Chisholm will be among the star attractions when the New York Mets play the Miami Marlins on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET, at LoanDepot park. Oddsmakers list the Mets as -143 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Marlins +121 moneyline odds. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for the matchup (with -112 odds to hit the over and -108 odds on the under).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins game on Friday, May 17.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 19, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: WPIX

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Marlins 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Marlins 49%

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 10 out of the 21 games, or 47.6%, in which they've been favored.
• New York has played as favorites of -143 or more twice this season and lost both games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Marlins have been underdogs in 33 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (36.4%) in those contests.
• This year, Miami has won six of 23 games when listed as at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 45.2% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

NYM 7 · MIA 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-143

O 8.5

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+121

U 8.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• In the last 10 games, the Mets were the moneyline favorite three times, but they lost each matchup.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Mets' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Alonso leads the Mets with 10 home runs.
• Including all MLB hitters, Alonso is 112th in batting average, 107th in on-base percentage, and 50th in slugging.
• Alonso has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .227 with a double, a home run, a walk and an RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 27 RBI.
• Nimmo is 59th in homers and 33rd in RBI on the season.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .190 with eight doubles, seven home runs and 15 walks.
• Starling Marte has a club-best .266 batting average.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 5-5.
• The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Chisholm has eight doubles, two triples, six home runs and 18 walks while batting .260.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Chisholm's home run total is 59th and his RBI tally ranks 47th.
• Chisholm has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .318 with a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit nine home runs with 25 RBI while batting .261. Those numbers are pace the clubhouse.
• De La Cruz is 21st overall in homers and 41st in RBI this season.
• Josh Bell is batting .229 with six doubles, six home runs and 18 walks.
• Nick Gordon is batting .235 with four doubles, five home runs and five walks.

Marlins Team Props

Otto Lopez knocks a walk-off single to secure the Marlins' win against the Mets in the tenth inning

Otto Lopez knocked a walk-off single to secure the Miami Marlins' win against the New York Mets in the tenth inning.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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