Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 1

Updated Jul. 1, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The New York Mets versus Washington Nationals game on Monday at 6:45 PM ET will feature a pair of hot hitters in Brandon Nimmo and C.J. Abrams. The Mets are favored in this one, at -120, while the underdog Nationals have +100 odds to win. New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 8.5 runs for this game (with -105 odds on the over and -115 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, July 1, 2024 at 6:45 PM ET
Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets	-120	+100	8.5	-105	-115	-1.5	+139	-167

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Mets 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Nationals 49%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

This season, the Mets have been favored 38 times and won 19, or 50%, of those games.
New York has a record of 13-16 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -120 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Mets.
The Nationals have been victorious in 31, or 45.6%, of the 68 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Washington has come away with a win 30 times in 66 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or longer on the moneyline.
The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they went 2-4 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Mets' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	6.6
HR	22
ERA	4.70
K/9	9.2

Mets Player Insights

Francisco Lindor has 24 doubles, 13 home runs and 25 walks while batting .248.
Of all hitters in baseball, Lindor is 37th in home runs and 57th in RBI.
Pete Alonso has shown his power as he paces his team with 17 home runs.
Alonso is 14th in home runs in the majors, and 32nd in RBI.
Alonso has four straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with a double, a home run, five walks and four RBI.
Nimmo leads the Mets with 50 runs batted in.
Nimmo is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with two doubles, two home runs, six walks and seven RBI.
Harrison Bader is hitting .269 with 14 doubles, six home runs and 13 walks.

Mets Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Harrison Bader	-	1.5 (+115)	-	-
Tyrone Taylor	-	1.5 (+140)	-	-
Jeff McNeil	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+245)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

The Nationals have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
The Nationals have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	9
ERA	5.28
K/9	9.3

Nationals Player Insights

Abrams leads the Nationals with 13 home runs and 42 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .283.
Abrams is 37th in home runs and 44th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
Jesse Winker is batting .260 with 11 doubles, nine home runs and 42 walks.
Among all MLB batters, Winker is 94th in home runs and 79th in RBI.
Luis Garcia is hitting .260 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 12 walks.
Lane Thomas is hitting .239 with eight doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 19 walks.