Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 11

Updated Jul. 11, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets face Jesse Winker and the Washington Nationals at Citi Field on Thursday. First pitch is at 1:10 PM ET. The favored Mets have -144 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +121. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +142 odds). An 8.5-run total has been set for this contest.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Nationals vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Washington Nationals and the New York Mets on Wednesday, July 10.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: SNY

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Nationals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Nationals 46%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 46 times this season and won 25, or 54.3%, of those games.
• New York has entered nine games this season favored by -144 or more and is 4-5 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 59% chance to win.
• The Nationals have won in 33, or 43.4%, of the 76 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, Washington has won 21 of 54 games when listed as at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL

WSH 0 · NYM 7

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+126

O 8.5

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-152

U 8.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 6-2 over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
• The Mets are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Lindor has 26 doubles, 16 home runs and 29 walks while batting .251.
• Lindor ranks 27th in home runs and 40th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Brandon Nimmo's 59 RBI and .252 batting average both pace his team.
• Nimmo is 27th in home runs in MLB, and 14th in RBI.
• Nimmo heads into this matchup looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .381 with a double, three home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
• Pete Alonso has hit a team-high 18 homers.
• Harrison Bader is batting .275 with 15 doubles, six home runs and 13 walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Nationals have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams leads the Nationals with 14 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 46.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Abrams ranks 41st in home runs and 48th in RBI.
• Winker has 17 doubles, 10 home runs and 47 walks while batting .268.
• Winker is 98th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 77th in RBI.
• Luis Garcia leads the Nationals' lineup with a .277 batting average.
• Lane Thomas has 10 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 22 walks while batting .243.

Nationals Team Props

Nationals vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Washington Nationals and the New York Mets on Wednesday, July 10.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets - 07/11/2024

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