Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 3

Updated Jul. 3, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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The New York Mets and Washington Nationals take the field on Wednesday at 6:45 PM ET. Brandon Nimmo and C.J. Abrams have been on a tear as of late for their respective squads. The Nationals are +113 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favorite Mets (-133). New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for the contest.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Braves vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Atlanta Braves took on the Washington Nationals in this regular season matchup.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, July 3, 2024 at 6:45 PM ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Nationals 49%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 40 times this season and won 21, or 52.5%, of those games.
• New York has entered 16 games this season favored by -133 or more and is 8-8 in those contests.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 57.1% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Nationals have been victorious in 31, or 44.3%, of the 70 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Washington has been victorious 26 times in 61 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 46.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

NYM 5 · WSH 7

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-131

O 9

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+111

U 9

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 3-3 record from the six games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor is batting .249 with 25 doubles, 14 home runs and 25 walks.
• Lindor's home runs put him 31st in MLB, and he is 53rd in RBI.
• Lindor brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .292 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Pete Alonso has hit 18 home runs to pace his team.
• Alonso is 11th in home runs and 29th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Alonso enters this game looking for his seventh game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 outings he is batting .278 with two doubles, two home runs, eight walks and six RBI.
• Nimmo leads the Mets with 52 runs batted in.
• Nimmo is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .353 with three doubles, a home run, five walks and six RBI.
• Harrison Bader has 14 doubles, six home runs and 13 walks while batting .270.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 1-6.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Nationals have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• Abrams paces the Nationals in home runs (13), runs batted in (43) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .286.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Abrams' home run total ranks 38th and his RBI tally is 44th.
• Abrams carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with a double, a home run, five walks and three RBI.
• Jesse Winker is hitting .261 with 12 doubles, nine home runs and 43 walks.
• Winker ranks 102nd among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 76th in RBI.
• Luis Garcia is hitting .257 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 12 walks.
• Lane Thomas has eight doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 20 walks while hitting .234.

Nationals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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