Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 4

Updated Jul. 4, 2024 11:00 a.m. ET

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Luis Garcia and the Washington Nationals will try to defeat Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets when the teams meet on Thursday at 11:05 AM ET. The favored Mets have -115 moneyline odds against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at -104. New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The game's over/under is listed at 9 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals on Wednesday, July 3.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 11:05 AM ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Nationals 49%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 41 times this season and won 21, or 51.2%, of those games.
• New York is 18-19 this season when entering a game favored by -115 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 53.5%.
• The Nationals have been victorious in 32, or 45.1%, of the 71 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Washington has won 31 of 70 games when listed as at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 51% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

NYM 0 · WSH 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-112

O 9

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

-108

U 9

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 3-4 across the seven games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
• The Mets have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Lindor has 25 doubles, 15 home runs and 25 walks while batting .249.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Lindor is 24th in homers and 45th in RBI.
• Lindor carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a double, two home runs and three RBI.
• Pete Alonso has shown his power as he paces his team with 18 home runs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Alonso is 14th in home runs and 33rd in RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has accumulated a team-high 52 runs batted in.
• Harrison Bader is batting .270 with 14 doubles, six home runs and 13 walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• In eight games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 2-6.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
• The Nationals have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams leads the Nationals with 13 home runs and 43 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .283.
• In all of the big leagues, Abrams is 39th in homers and 45th in RBI.
• Jesse Winker has 13 doubles, nine home runs and 43 walks while hitting .264.
• Winker is 102nd among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 78th in RBI.
• Garcia is batting .261 with 14 doubles, nine home runs and 13 walks.
• Lane Thomas is batting .235 with nine doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 20 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Mets vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals on Wednesday, July 3.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals - 07/04/2024

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