Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 4

Updated Jun. 4, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Lane Thomas and the Washington Nationals take the field on Tuesday at Nationals Park against David Peterson, who will start for the New York Mets. First pitch is set for 6:45 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Mets as -117 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Nationals -103 moneyline odds. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +141 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the game.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, June 4, 2024 at 6:45 PM ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to Watch on TV: SNY

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 58%, Nationals 42%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 12, or 46.2%, of the 26 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season New York has won nine of its 22 games, or 40.9%, when favored by at least -117 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 53.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Nationals have won in 24, or 45.3%, of the 53 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Washington has a win-loss record of 24-29 when favored by -103 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 50.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

NYM 6 · WSH 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-117

O 8.5

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

-103

U 8.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were the moneyline favorite for three of their last 10 games, and finished 1-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
• The Mets have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor has 13 doubles, nine home runs and 19 walks while batting .228.
• In all of the majors, Lindor is 40th in home runs and 52nd in RBI.
• Pete Alonso has shown off his power as he paces his team with 13 home runs.
• Alonso is 11th in home runs in baseball, and 52nd in RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with 31 runs batted in.
• Nimmo is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with two doubles, a triple and two RBI.
• Starling Marte is hitting .275 to lead his team.

Learn more about this Mets vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 5-4 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• The Nationals have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams has hit a team-high nine home runs.
• Abrams ranks 40th in home runs and 80th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Jesse Winker is batting .241 with 10 doubles, six home runs and 28 walks.
• Winker is currently 97th in homers and 65th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Luis Garcia paces the Nationals' lineup with a .267 batting average.
• Eddie Rosario is hitting .184 with eight doubles, seven home runs and 13 walks.

Mets vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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