Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 5

Updated Jun. 5, 2024 3:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Luis Severino will start for the New York Mets on Wednesday against C.J. Abrams and the Washington Nationals. First pitch is at 4:05 PM ET at Nationals Park. The Mets are the favorite in this one, at -145, while the underdog Nationals have +123 odds to win. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 9.5-run over/under is set in the contest.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the New York Mets' 6-3 win over the Washington Nationals on Tuesday, June 4th.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, June 5, 2024 at 4:05 PM ET
Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
How to Watch on TV: SNY

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets	-145	+123	9.5	-111	-109	-1.5	+109	-130

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Nationals 6, Mets 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Nationals 47%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

The Mets have won 13, or 48.1%, of the 27 games they've played as favorites this season.
New York has been at least -145 moneyline favorites three times this season, but were upset in all of those games.
The Mets have a 59.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Nationals have been victorious in 24, or 44.4%, of the 54 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Washington has been victorious 18 times in 42 chances when named as an underdog of at least +123 or longer on the moneyline.
The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets have a 2-1 record from the three games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Mets have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	10
ERA	5.04
K/9	8.9

Mets Player Insights

Pete Alonso paces the Mets with 14 home runs and 31 runs batted in.
Alonso's home runs place him ninth in the majors, and he ranks 48th in RBI.
Francisco Lindor is hitting .232 with 14 doubles, nine home runs and 19 walks.
Lindor is 44th in homers and 54th in RBI on the season.
Lindor heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with two doubles, two walks and two RBI.
Brandon Nimmo has collected a team-best 31 runs batted in.
Nimmo has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two doubles, a triple, a walk and two RBI.
Starling Marte's .276 batting average leads his team.
Marte takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .421 with two triples, two walks and six RBI.

Learn more about this Mets vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 4-5.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
The Nationals have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	5
ERA	4.24
K/9	8.3

Nationals Player Insights

Abrams has launched a team-best nine home runs.
Abrams ranks 44th in home runs and 84th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
Jesse Winker is hitting .244 with 10 doubles, six home runs and 29 walks.
Winker is 97th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 68th in RBI.
Luis Garcia paces the Nationals' lineup with a .267 batting average.
Jacob Young is hitting .282 with seven doubles and eight walks.