Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Francisco Alvarez and the New York Mets will square off against C.J. Abrams and the Washington Nationals at Citi Field on Monday. The Mets are listed as -192 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Nationals (+159). New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +112 odds). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the game (with -103 odds to hit the over and -116 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, September 16, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Nationals 3
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 58%, Nationals 42%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 86 times and won 51, or 59.3%, of those games.
• This season New York has won eight of its 13 games, or 61.5%, when favored by at least -192 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 65.8% chance to win.
• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 120 games this year and have walked away with the win 52 times (43.3%) in those games.
• This year, Washington has won 14 of 30 games when listed as at least +159 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 38.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL (10)

WSH 1 · NYM 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+167

O 7.5

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-202

U 7.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were favored on the moneyline in seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
• The Mets are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor has put up a team-high batting average of .271 while leading the Mets in runs batted in (86).
• Of all hitters in baseball, Lindor ranks 13th in homers and 24th in RBI.
• Lindor has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Pete Alonso's 32 home runs are a team-high mark.
• Alonso is 11th in home runs and 34th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .226 with 24 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 75 walks.
• Nimmo is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a home run, two walks and four RBI.
• Jesse Winker is hitting .261 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 60 walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• In six games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Nationals had a record of 3-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Nationals are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• Abrams paces the Nationals with 20 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 65.
• Among all batters in the majors, Abrams ranks 62nd in homers and 72nd in RBI.
• Luis Garcia has a club-leading 65 RBI and .282 batting average.
• Garcia ranks 108th in homers and 72nd in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Keibert Ruiz is hitting .232 with 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 16 walks.
• Jacob Young is hitting .258 with 23 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 27 walks.

Nationals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets - 09/16/2024

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