Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 18

Updated Sep. 18, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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The Washington Nationals will look to Jose Tena for continued offensive production when they square off against Pete Alonso and the New York Mets on Wednesday, in the final game of a three-game series at Citi Field. The Mets are the favorite in this one, at -169, while the underdog Nationals have +142 odds to win. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5). The matchup's total is set at 7 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Nationals vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Washington Nationals and New York Mets game on September 17th, 2024.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, September 18, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Nationals 3
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 58%, Nationals 42%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 88 games this season and won 53 (60.2%) of those contests.
• New York has a record of 13-5, a 72.2% win rate, when favored by -169 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The Mets have a 62.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Nationals have won in 52, or 42.6%, of the 122 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Washington has a mark of 20-31 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +142 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 41.3% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

WSH 0 · NYM 10

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+144

O 7

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-172

U 7

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 5-2 across the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor comes into Wednesday's game as the Mets top run producer, accumulating 86 RBI while launching 31 home runs in 2024. His .271 average is also best on the squad.
• Lindor's home runs rank him 15th in the majors, and he is 26th in RBI.
• Lindor has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Alonso's 33 home runs and 86 runs batted in are both team-highs.
• Alonso ranks 11th in homers and 26th in RBI on the year.
• Alonso carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .450 with a double, two home runs, two walks and six RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has 24 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 76 walks while batting .227.
• Nimmo will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Jesse Winker is batting .260 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 61 walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 2-4 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Nationals have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams leads the Nationals with 20 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 65.
• In all of MLB, Abrams ranks 65th in home runs and 75th in RBI.
• Abrams takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with a double, two home runs, a walk and two RBI.
• Luis Garcia has 65 runs batted in while batting .280. Both team-highs.
• Garcia is 108th in home runs and 75th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Keibert Ruiz is hitting .230 with 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 16 walks.
• Jacob Young is hitting .256 with 23 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 28 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Nationals vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Washington Nationals and New York Mets game on September 17th, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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