Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 5

Updated Sep. 5, 2023 6:06 p.m. ET

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Jose Quintana takes the mound for the New York Mets on Tuesday at Nationals Park against Lane Thomas and the Washington Nationals. First pitch is at 7:05 PM ET. The Nationals are +124 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Mets (-146). New York is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 9 runs for the game (with -117 odds to hit the over and -103 odds on the under).

The New York Mets will give the start to Quintana (1-5, 3.26 ERA), who is looking for win No. 2 on the season, and the Nationals will turn to Patrick Corbin (9-12, 4.96 ERA).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Nationals 6, Mets 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Nationals 49%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 78 times and won 45, or 57.7%, of those games.
• New York has entered 42 games this season favored by -146 or more and is 19-23 in those contests.
• The Mets have a 59.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Nationals have come away with 53 wins in the 126 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Washington has won 46 of 102 games when listed as at least +124 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 44.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• In the last 10 games, the Mets have been listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only two times, and they split those games.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over two times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

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Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor is batting .249 with 29 doubles, two triples, 25 home runs and 55 walks.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Lindor's home run total places him 26th, and his RBI tally ranks him 29th.
• Pete Alonso has shown his power as he leads his team with 41 home runs and 100 runs batted in.
• Alonso is third in homers and second in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Alonso has four straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a double, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has 22 doubles, four triples, 20 home runs and 67 walks while hitting .262.
• Nimmo will look to build on his six-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .205 with two doubles, two home runs, four walks and four RBI.
• Jeff McNeil is hitting .270 to lead his team.
• McNeil is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .409 with two doubles, a triple, a home run and two RBI.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 3-7 in those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Nationals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• Thomas has recorded a team-best batting average of .285, and leads the Nationals in long balls with 23.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Thomas' home run total is 37th and his RBI tally ranks 41st.
• Thomas brings a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with three home runs, a walk and five RBI.
• Joey Meneses has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 76 runs batted in.
• Meneses is 179th in homers and 39th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• C.J. Abrams has 22 doubles, four triples, 15 home runs and 21 walks while batting .245.
• Keibert Ruiz is batting .257 with 19 doubles, 16 home runs and 30 walks.

Nationals Team Props

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Mets vs Nationals!

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