Mets vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 19

Mets vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 19

Updated Aug. 19, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets will take the field at Citi Field against the Baltimore Orioles and Gunnar Henderson on Monday. The Mets are the favorite in this one, at -135, while the underdog Orioles have +115 odds to play spoiler. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 9 runs for this contest.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, August 19, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -135 +115 9 -108 -111 -1.5 +151 -181

Mets vs. Orioles Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Orioles 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Orioles 48%

Mets vs. Orioles Betting Insights

  • This season, the Mets have won 39 out of the 71 games, or 54.9%, in which they've been favored.
  • New York has entered 36 games this season favored by -135 or more and is 21-15 in those contests.
  • The Mets have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have been underdogs in 25 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (56%) in those contests.
  • Baltimore has a mark of 3-1 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
BAL 3 · NYM 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
New York Mets
NYM

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
  • The Mets are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 13
ERA 4.55
K/9 9.3

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor leads the Mets in runs batted in (72) and has a team-high batting average of .264.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Lindor's home run total ranks him 21st, and his RBI tally ranks him 24th.
  • Lindor carries a 12-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is batting .372 with three doubles, a triple, two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has shown off his power as he paces his team with 27 home runs.
  • Alonso ranks 11th in home runs and 33rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Alonso enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo is batting .229 with 21 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 66 walks.
  • Nimmo has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a triple, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
  • Jesse Winker has 20 doubles, 11 home runs and 55 walks while batting .262.
  • Winker brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .267 with a walk and an RBI.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
José Iglesias 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+175)
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+130)
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+145)
Francisco Lindor 1.5 () 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+135)
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • The Orioles have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Orioles have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 14
ERA 4.60
K/9 8.7

Orioles Player Insights

  • Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with a team-high batting average of .288.
  • Henderson's home run total places him sixth in the big leagues, and he ranks 19th in RBI.
  • Anthony Santander been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 36 home runs and 80 RBI.
  • Santander is third in homers and 14th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Adley Rutschman is hitting .266 with 16 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Ryan O'Hearn is hitting .277 with 15 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 40 walks.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Eloy Jiménez 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+165)
Adley Rutschman 0.5 (-285) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+180)
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+150)
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+120)
Colton Cowser 0.5 (-140) 0.5 (-140) - 0.5 (+240)

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