Mets vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 21
Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets meet Ramon Urias and the Baltimore Orioles at Citi Field on Wednesday at 1:10 p.m. ET, in the final game of a three-game series. The Orioles are +119 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Mets (-139). New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 8.5 runs for the game (with -110 odds to hit the over and -110 odds to go under).
Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Mets vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, August 21, 2024 at 1:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mets | -139 | +119 | 8.5 | -110 | -110 | -1.5 | +149 | -180 |
Mets vs. Orioles Prediction
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Orioles 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Orioles 48%
Mets vs. Orioles Betting Insights
- The Mets have won 40, or 54.8%, of the 73 games they've played as favorites this season.
- New York has a record of 20-15 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -139 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 58.2%.
- The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 27 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (55.6%) in those games.
- Baltimore has a win-loss record of 3-1 when favored by +119 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 45.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Mets Recent Betting Performance
- The Mets went 4-4 across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total six times.
- The Mets are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Mets Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 4-6 |
Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
HR | 13 |
ERA | 4.81 |
K/9 | 8.7 |
Mets Player Insights
- Lindor is the Mets best hitter, putting together an average of .265 while also being the team's top run producer, collecting 72 RBI and launching 24 long balls.
- Lindor's home runs place him 21st in the majors, and he is 26th in RBI.
- Pete Alonso has hit 27 home runs to pace his team.
- Alonso ranks 12th in homers and 34th in RBI in the majors.
- Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with 72 runs batted in.
- Nimmo has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with a double, a triple, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.
- Jesse Winker is batting .260 with 20 doubles, 11 home runs and 55 walks.
Mets Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mark Vientos | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+135) |
J.D. Martínez | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+140) |
Francisco Lindor | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (-110) | - | 0.5 (+145) |
José Iglesias | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
Pete Alonso | 0.5 (-185) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
Learn more about this Mets vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.
Orioles Recent Betting Performance
- In three games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Orioles had a record of 1-2.
- The Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Orioles have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Orioles Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 5-5 |
Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
HR | 14 |
ERA | 4.60 |
K/9 | 9.2 |
Orioles Player Insights
- Gunnar Henderson leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .287.
- Henderson is sixth in home runs and 17th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
- Anthony Santander has hit 37 home runs with 82 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
- Santander is currently third in home runs and 13th in RBI in the big leagues.
- Adley Rutschman is hitting .263 with 16 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 44 walks.
- Ryan O'Hearn has 15 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 40 walks while batting .276.
Orioles Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Eloy Jiménez | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
Anthony Santander | 0.5 (-190) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+120) |
Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 (-280) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+145) |
Adley Rutschman | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
Colton Cowser | 0.5 (-150) | 0.5 (-150) | - | 0.5 (+230) |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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