Mets vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 21

Mets vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 21

Updated Aug. 21, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets meet Ramon Urias and the Baltimore Orioles at Citi Field on Wednesday at 1:10 p.m. ET, in the final game of a three-game series. The Orioles are +119 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Mets (-139). New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 8.5 runs for the game (with -110 odds to hit the over and -110 odds to go under).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Orioles vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Baltimore Orioles and New York Mets game on August 19th, 2024.
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Mets vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, August 21, 2024 at 1:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -139 +119 8.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +149 -180

Mets vs. Orioles Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Orioles 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Orioles 48%

Mets vs. Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Mets have won 40, or 54.8%, of the 73 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • New York has a record of 20-15 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -139 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 58.2%.
  • The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 27 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (55.6%) in those games.
  • Baltimore has a win-loss record of 3-1 when favored by +119 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 45.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
BAL 3 · NYM 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
New York Mets
NYM

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets went 4-4 across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total six times.
  • The Mets are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 13
ERA 4.81
K/9 8.7

Mets Player Insights

  • Lindor is the Mets best hitter, putting together an average of .265 while also being the team's top run producer, collecting 72 RBI and launching 24 long balls.
  • Lindor's home runs place him 21st in the majors, and he is 26th in RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has hit 27 home runs to pace his team.
  • Alonso ranks 12th in homers and 34th in RBI in the majors.
  • Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with 72 runs batted in.
  • Nimmo has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with a double, a triple, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.
  • Jesse Winker is batting .260 with 20 doubles, 11 home runs and 55 walks.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+135)
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+140)
Francisco Lindor 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+145)
José Iglesias 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+185)
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • In three games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Orioles had a record of 1-2.
  • The Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Orioles have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 14
ERA 4.60
K/9 9.2

Orioles Player Insights

  • Gunnar Henderson leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .287.
  • Henderson is sixth in home runs and 17th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Anthony Santander has hit 37 home runs with 82 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
  • Santander is currently third in home runs and 13th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Adley Rutschman is hitting .263 with 16 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Ryan O'Hearn has 15 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 40 walks while batting .276.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Eloy Jiménez 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+170)
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+120)
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 (-280) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+145)
Adley Rutschman 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+185)
Colton Cowser 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (-150) - 0.5 (+230)

Anthony Santander crushes a two-run homer, giving Orioles a 2-0 lead over Mets early

Anthony Santander smoked a two-run homer that gave the Baltimore Orioles a 2-0 lead over the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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