Mets vs. Phillies NLDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 9

Updated Oct. 9, 2024 1:01 p.m. ET

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Game 4 of the NLDS will feature the New York Mets playing host to the Philadelphia Phillies. The Mets will look to advance to the NLCS when action gets underway on Wednesday starting at 5:08 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1, live from Citi Field. The Mets are favored in this one, at -118, while the underdog Phillies have -101 odds to play spoiler. Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +165 odds). The game's total is set at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Check out the postgame interviews following the Game 3 matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets featuring Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor and more!

Mets vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 5:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Mets vs. Phillies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Phillies 46%

Mets vs. Phillies Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 94 times this season and won 57, or 60.6%, of those games.
• This season New York has won 48 of its 79 games, or 60.8%, when favored by at least -118 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 54.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Phillies have been underdogs in 32 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (43.8%) in those contests.
• This year, Philadelphia has won nine of 21 games when listed as at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 50.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Wed 9:08 PM

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

+101

O 7.5

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

-121

U 7.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were named the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only twice in the last 10 games, and split those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor comes into Wednesday's game as the Mets top run producer, delivering 91 RBI while hitting 33 home runs in 2024. His .273 average is also best on the squad.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Lindor ranks 14th in homers and 25th in RBI.
• Lindor has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with two doubles, five walks and two RBI.
• Pete Alonso's 34 home runs are a team-high mark.
• Alonso ranks 12th in home runs and 29th in RBI in the majors.
• Alonso carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with three home runs, three walks and six RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks while batting .224.
• Jesse Winker has 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks while batting .253.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have failed to hit the over twice.
• The Phillies have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bryce Harper has 42 doubles, 30 home runs and 76 walks while batting .285.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Harper's home run total ranks 20th and his RBI tally is 31st.
• Harper brings a hitting streak of four games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with a double, a home run, five walks and three RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 38 home runs and 104 RBI.
• Schwarber ranks eighth in home runs and 10th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Alec Bohm is batting .280 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
• Trea Turner leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .295.

Phillies Team Props

Phillies vs. Mets Game 3: Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor and more Postgame Interviews | MLB on FOX

Check out the postgame interviews following the Game 3 matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets featuring Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor and more!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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