Data Skrive
Game 4 of the NLDS will feature the New York Mets playing host to the Philadelphia Phillies. The Mets will look to advance to the NLCS when action gets underway on Wednesday starting at 5:08 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1, live from Citi Field. Oddsmakers list the Mets as -121 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Phillies +102 moneyline odds. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for the matchup.
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Phillies vs. Mets Game 3: Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor and more Postgame Interviews | MLB on FOX
Check out the postgame interviews following the Game 3 matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets featuring Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor and more!
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Mets vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 5:08 p.m. ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -121 | +102 | 8 | -108 | -112 | -1.5 | -204 | +169 |
Mets vs. Phillies Prediction
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Phillies 46%
Mets vs. Phillies Betting Insights
- The Mets have won 57, or 60.6%, of the 94 games they've played as favorites this season.
- New York has a record of 45-29, a 60.8% win rate, when favored by -121 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Mets.
- The Phillies have come away with 14 wins in the 32 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 7-11 when favored by +102 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Mets Recent Betting Performance
- The Mets were named the moneyline favorite by bookmakers just two times in the last 10 games, and split those matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Mets have a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Mets Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.86 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
Mets Player Insights
- Francisco Lindor paces the Mets with 91 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .273.
- In all of MLB, Lindor ranks 14th in homers and 25th in RBI.
- Lindor carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .278 with two doubles, five walks and two RBI.
- Pete Alonso has hit 34 home runs to lead his team.
- Alonso ranks 12th in home runs and 29th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
- Alonso enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .222 with three home runs, three walks and six RBI.
- Brandon Nimmo is batting .224 with 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks.
- Jesse Winker is hitting .253 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.
Mets Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| José Iglesias | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (+145) | - | 0.5 (+205) |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| Harrison Bader | 0.5 (-140) | 0.5 (-140) | - | 0.5 (+230) |
| Tyrone Taylor | 0.5 (-165) | 0.5 (-165) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
Learn more about this Mets vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.
Phillies Recent Betting Performance
- Over the past 10 games, sportsbooks have not installed the Phillies as underdogs once.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
- Over their last 10 games, the Phillies are 3-7-0 against the spread.
Phillies Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.65 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Phillies Player Insights
- Bryce Harper has 42 doubles, 30 home runs and 76 walks while hitting .285.
- Harper's home run total puts him 20th in the big leagues, and he ranks 31st in RBI.
- Harper carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a double, a home run, five walks and three RBI.
- Kyle Schwarber has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 38 home runs and 104 runs batted in.
- Schwarber is eighth among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 10th in RBI.
- Alec Bohm is batting .280 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
- Trea Turner leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .295.
Phillies Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Trea Turner | 0.5 (-260) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
| Nicholas Castellanos | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| Johan Rojas | 0.5 (-115) | 0.5 (-115) | - | 0.5 (+330) |
Phillies vs. Mets Game 3: Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor and more Postgame Interviews | MLB on FOX
Check out the postgame interviews following the Game 3 matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets featuring Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor and more!
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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