Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Updated Oct. 1, 2023 3:01 p.m. ET

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The New York Mets will look to Francisco Lindor for continued offensive production when they take the field against Trea Turner and the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday. The favored Mets have -122 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Phillies, who are listed at +103. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5). The contest's total is set at 8.5 runs.

The New York Mets will hand the ball to Jose Butto (1-3, 3.75 ERA), who is looking for win No. 2 on the season, and the Phillies will counter with Matt Strahm (9-5, 3.32 ERA).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Phillies game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Mets vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 3:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: SNY

Mets vs. Phillies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Phillies 49%

Mets vs. Phillies Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 89 times and won 50, or 56.2%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 35-34, a 50.7% win rate, when favored by -122 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 55% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Phillies have come away with 22 wins in the 49 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Philadelphia has come away with a win 16 times in 35 chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have been named the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only two times over the last 10 games, and split those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
• The Mets have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Lindor has 33 doubles, two triples, 31 home runs and 65 walks while hitting .255.
• Lindor ranks 22nd in homers and 19th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Lindor takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .400 with four home runs, four walks and eight RBI.
• Pete Alonso's 46 home runs and 118 runs batted in both lead his team.
• Alonso ranks third in home runs in baseball, and second in RBI.
• Francisco Alvarez is batting .210 with 12 doubles, 25 home runs and 34 walks.
• Daniel Vogelbach is hitting .233 with eight doubles, 13 home runs and 42 walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Phillies have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Phillies have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has swatted a team-high 47 home runs.
• Schwarber is second in homers and 11th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Turner has 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks while batting .266.
• Turner is 38th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 67th in RBI.
• Alec Bohm is hitting .273 with 31 doubles, 19 home runs and 42 walks.
• Bryce Harper leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .293.

Phillies Team Props

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