Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 19

Updated Sep. 19, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Kyle Schwarber and Pete Alonso will hit the field when the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets meet on Thursday at Citi Field. The favored Mets have -141 moneyline odds against the underdog Phillies, who are listed at +119. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +147 odds). The over/under is 8 runs for the matchup (with -115 odds to hit the over and -105 odds to go under).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 19, 2024 at 7:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: FOX

Mets vs. Phillies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Phillies 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Phillies 47%

Mets vs. Phillies Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 54, or 60.7%, of the 89 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York is 26-15 this season when entering a game favored by -141 or more on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 58.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Phillies have been victorious in 14, or 46.7%, of the 30 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Philadelphia has been victorious three times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

PHI 6 · NYM 10

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

+1.5

+119

O 8

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-141

U 8

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 5-2 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
• The Mets are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor has a team-best batting average of .271 and leads the Mets in runs batted in (86).
• Lindor's home runs place him 15th in the majors, and he is 26th in RBI.
• Lindor takes a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Alonso has shown his power as he leads his team with 33 home runs and 86 runs batted in.
• Of all MLB batters, Alonso ranks 11th in home runs and 26th in RBI.
• Alonso carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .303 with a double, two home runs, five walks and seven RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .227 with 24 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 77 walks.
• Nimmo has at least one base hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
• Jesse Winker has 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 61 walks while batting .260.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Phillies have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Phillies have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bryce Harper is batting .288 with 40 doubles, 29 home runs and 71 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .374.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Harper's home run total is 21st and his RBI tally ranks 32nd.
• Schwarber has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 35 home runs and 97 RBI.
• Schwarber is eighth in homers and 13th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Alec Bohm is hitting .288 with 44 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 39 walks.
• Trea Turner leads the Phillies with a .299 batting average.

Phillies Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets - 09/19/2024

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