Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 21

Updated Sep. 21, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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Ranger Suarez starts for the Philadelphia Phillies against Pete Alonso and the New York Mets on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Phillies are +101 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Mets (-120). New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total for the contest has been set at 7.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets.

Mets vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: SNY

Mets vs. Phillies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Phillies 47%

Mets vs. Phillies Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 55, or 61.1%, of the 90 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York has a record of 45-30, a 60% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 54.5%.
• The Phillies have been victorious in 14, or 45.2%, of the 31 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Philadelphia has come away with a win seven times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 49.8% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

PHI 3 · NYM 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-104

O 7.5

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

-116

U 7.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 5-1 over the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
• The Mets are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor paces the Mets with a .271 batting average.
• Lindor's home runs place him 15th in MLB, and he ranks 28th in RBI.
• Lindor carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Pete Alonso's 34 home runs and 87 RBI both pace his team.
• Alonso is 10th in home runs and 26th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Brandon Nimmo has 25 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 77 walks while batting .228.
• Jesse Winker is hitting .259 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Phillies have been underdogs twice and lost both games.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Phillies have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bryce Harper is batting .287 with 41 doubles, 29 home runs and 73 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .375.
• Harper ranks 22nd in home runs and 28th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Kyle Schwarber has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 35 home runs and 98 runs batted in.
• Schwarber is currently ninth in homers and 14th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Alec Bohm is hitting .290 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 39 walks.
• Trea Turner leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .299.

Phillies Team Props

Phillies vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets - 09/21/2024

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