Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 21

Updated Sep. 20, 2024 10:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Sean Manaea and Ranger Suarez are the projected starters when the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies square off on Saturday at Citi Field. The favored Mets have -111 moneyline odds against the underdog Phillies, who are listed at -109. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup has been set at 7.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets.

Mets vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
How to Watch on TV: SNY

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets	-111	-109	7.5	+101	-122	-1.5	-199	+165

Mets vs. Phillies Prediction

Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Phillies 46%

Mets vs. Phillies Betting Insights

This season, the Mets have won 55 out of the 90 games, or 61.1%, in which they've been favored.
This season New York has won 55 of its 90 games, or 61.1%, when favored by at least -111 on the moneyline.
The Mets have a 52.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 31 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (45.2%) in those games.
This season, Philadelphia has come away with a win 13 times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least -109 or longer on the moneyline.
The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

New York Mets

NYM

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets have a 6-1 record across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
The Mets are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.9
HR	16
ERA	2.76
K/9	8.9

Mets Player Insights

Francisco Lindor's .271 average leads the Mets this year. His resume also includes 31 homers and driven in 86 RBI.
In all of MLB, Lindor is 15th in home runs and 27th in RBI.
Lindor carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
Pete Alonso has shown his power as he leads his team with 34 home runs and 87 runs batted in.
Alonso is 10th in homers and 25th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Alonso carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 outings he is batting .306 with a double, three home runs, four walks and eight RBI.
Brandon Nimmo is hitting .229 with 25 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 77 walks.
Nimmo is on a six-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .205 with a double, three home runs, four walks and 10 RBI.
Jesse Winker is hitting .259 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Learn more about this Mets vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and lost both contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Phillies have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	13
ERA	4.34
K/9	8.1

Phillies Player Insights

Bryce Harper is hitting .288 with 41 doubles, 29 home runs and 72 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .375.
Among all hitters in the majors, Harper's home run total ranks 21st and his RBI tally is 27th.
Kyle Schwarber been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 35 home runs and 98 runs batted in.
Schwarber ranks eighth in homers and 13th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
Alec Bohm has 44 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 39 walks while hitting .285.
Trea Turner paces the Phillies with a team-high batting average of .298.