Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 30, 2023 4:12 p.m. ET

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Taijuan Walker will take the mound for the Philadelphia Phillies against Pete Alonso and the New York Mets on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Mets as -130 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Phillies +109 moneyline odds. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +159 odds). The total is 8 runs for this game.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the New York Mets looking to Tylor Megill (8-8), and Walker (15-5) taking the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Phillies game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Mets vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: WPIX

Mets vs. Phillies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Phillies 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 50%, Phillies 50%

Mets vs. Phillies Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 88 times this season and won 49, or 55.7%, of those games.
• This season New York has won 29 of its 60 games, or 48.3%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 48 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (45.8%) in those games.
• This year, Philadelphia has won 12 of 28 games when listed as at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 47.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• Over the last 10 games, the Mets were listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers just two times, and they split those games.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
• The Mets have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor has 33 doubles, two triples, 30 home runs and 64 walks while hitting .254.
• In all of the majors, Lindor ranks 25th in homers and 22nd in RBI.
• Lindor brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .333 with four home runs, three walks and eight RBI.
• Pete Alonso has shown his power as he paces his team with 46 home runs and 117 RBI.
• Alonso is second in home runs and second in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Alonso heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with three doubles, a home run and three RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo paces the Mets with a .273 batting average.
• Nimmo will look to build on his nine-game hitting in this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .341 with four doubles, a triple, a home run, five walks and eight RBI.
• Francisco Alvarez is batting .206 with 12 doubles, 23 home runs and 33 walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Phillies have a record of 2-1.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Phillies and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Phillies are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Trea Turner is hitting .266 with 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Turner is 38th in home runs and 67th in RBI.
• Turner takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with three doubles, a walk and an RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has put his power on display as he paces his team with 46 home runs.
• Schwarber ranks second in home runs and 15th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Alec Bohm has 31 doubles, 19 home runs and 42 walks while batting .275.
• Bryce Harper leads the Phillies with a .295 batting average.

Phillies Team Props

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