Mets vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 15

Updated Apr. 15, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Connor Joe and the Pittsburgh Pirates will hit the field on Monday at Citi Field against Adrian Houser, who starts for the New York Mets. First pitch will be at 7:10 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Mets as -122 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Pirates +101 moneyline odds to win. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +165 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for the matchup (with -110 odds on the over and -110 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

NL East Preview: Can the Atlanta Braves hold off the Philadelphia Phillies?

Ben Verlander and Alex Curry breakdown the NL East in the Flippin' Bats 2024 National League preview. Who will Alex and Ben pick as the NL East winner?

Mets vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, April 15, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Mets vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Pirates 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Pirates 47%

Mets vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have won three out of the nine games in which they've been favored.
• New York has a record of 2-5 when favored by -122 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 55% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 11 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (72.7%) in those games.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win six times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 49.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

PIT 3 · NYM 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

-164

O 8.5

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

+125

U 8.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-1 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 6-3-0 over their past 10 games (nine of those games had spreads set by bookmakers).

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Pete Alonso has racked up a team-high six home runs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Alonso ranks 74th in batting average, 62nd in on-base percentage, and 18th in slugging.
• Brandon Nimmo has totaled 12 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Nimmo is 74th in home runs in MLB, and 23rd in RBI.
• Starling Marte has a double, two home runs and six walks while hitting .279.
• Marte is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .304 with a home run, two walks and two RBI.
• Jeff McNeil is batting .222 with a double, a home run and seven walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and have gone 4-3 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Pirates have a record of 6-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds has plated a team-leading 11 runs batted in.
• In all of MLB, Reynolds ranks 74th in homers and 33rd in RBI.
• Joe's .292 batting average leads his team.
• Joe ranks 137th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 42nd in RBI.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes is hitting .290 with five doubles and 11 walks.
• Edward Olivares has collected a team-best three home runs.

Pirates Team Props

NL East Preview: Can the Atlanta Braves hold off the Philadelphia Phillies?

Ben Verlander and Alex Curry breakdown the NL East in the Flippin' Bats 2024 National League preview. Who will Alex and Ben pick as the NL East winner?

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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