Mets vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 14

Updated Aug. 14, 2023 7:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Quinn Priester gets the nod on the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates looking to slow down Pete Alonso and the New York Mets on Monday at 7:10 PM ET. The Mets are listed as -136 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Pirates (+116). New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +142 odds). A 9.5-run total is set for the game.

The starting pitchers are Carlos Carrasco (3-6) for the New York Mets, and Priester (2-1) for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mets vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, August 14, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
How to Watch on TV: SNY

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets	-136	+116	9.5	-102	-118	-1.5	+142	-169

Mets vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Mets 6, Pirates 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Pirates 47%

Mets vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Mets have entered the game as favorites 71 times this season and won 40, or 56.3%, of those games.
New York is 24-26 this season when entering a game favored by -136 or more on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 57.6% chance to win.
The Pirates have come away with 39 wins in the 93 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 33 times in 68 chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or longer on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 46.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

Over the last 10 games, the Mets were listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only one time, a game they won.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
The Mets are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.3
HR	8
ERA	6.72
K/9	8.6

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Mets Player Insights

Alonso has gone yard 35 times in the 2023 campaign while driving in 87 runs, both totals that lead the Mets.
Of all hitters in MLB, Alonso is third in homers and fifth in RBI.
Francisco Lindor is hitting .242 with 25 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 50 walks.
Lindor is 24th in home runs and 27th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Brandon Nimmo paces the Mets with a team-high batting average of .259.
Nimmo will look to build on his five-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .389 with a double and four walks.
Jeff McNeil has a club-leading .259 batting average.
McNeil has recorded at least one hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .324 with a double, two home runs, three walks and five RBI.

Mets Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Pete Alonso	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+140)
Mark Vientos	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+170)
Francisco Lindor	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+140)
Brandon Nimmo	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+180)
Jeff McNeil	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+130)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Pirates had a record of 4-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
The Pirates are 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5
HR	18
ERA	4.44
K/9	9.5

Pirates Player Insights

The Pirates are led in runs batted in by Bryan Reynolds with a mark of 56, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .270.
Among all hitters in MLB, Reynolds' home run total ranks 68th and his RBI tally ranks 72nd.
Andrew McCutchen has 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 65 walks while batting .254.
McCutchen is currently 169th in homers and 211th in RBI in the big leagues.
Jack Suwinski leads the Pirates with 21 long balls.
Ke'Bryan Hayes is hitting .254 with 17 doubles, six triples, eight home runs and 17 walks.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jack Suwinski	0.5 (-189)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+300)	0.5 (+140)
Bryan Reynolds	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+165)
Connor Joe	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+245)
Andrew McCutchen	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+175)
Ke'Bryan Hayes	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+145)

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