Mets vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 15

Updated Aug. 15, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Pete Alonso and Bryan Reynolds will be among the star attractions when the New York Mets face the Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET, at Citi Field. Oddsmakers list the Mets as -151 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +128 moneyline odds. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +137 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the game.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the New York Mets looking to David Peterson (3-7), and Bailey Falter (0-7) answering the bell for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mets vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, August 15, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
How to Watch on TV: SNY

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets	-151	+128	8.5	-107	-113	-1.5	+137	-163

Mets vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Mets 6, Pirates 5
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Pirates 46%

Mets vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Mets have won 41, or 56.9%, of the 72 games they've played as favorites this season.
New York is 16-22 this season when entering a game favored by -151 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.2% chance of a victory for the Mets.
The Pirates have won in 39, or 41.5%, of the 94 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 24-29 when favored by +128 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 43.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets have been named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only twice in the last 10 games, and won both matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to go over the total four times.
The Mets have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	11
ERA	5.83
K/9	8.6

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Mets Player Insights

Alonso has put up a team-best 35 home runs and 88 runs batted in.
Among all batters in MLB, Alonso ranks third in homers and fourth in RBI.
Alonso has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .143 with a double, six walks and an RBI.
Francisco Lindor has 26 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 51 walks while hitting .245.
Lindor ranks 24th in home runs and 28th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Brandon Nimmo has accumulated a team-best batting average of .261.
Nimmo is on a six-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .324 with two doubles, a home run, six walks and an RBI.
Jeff McNeil is hitting .260 with 17 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 33 walks.
McNeil has recorded at least one hit in eight games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is batting .361 with a double, two home runs, three walks and seven RBI.

Mets Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Francisco Lindor	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+140)
Jeff McNeil	1.5 (+205)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+180)
Pete Alonso	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+135)
Mark Vientos	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+160)
Brandon Nimmo	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+205)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 3-4.
The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Pirates have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	14
ERA	4.79
K/9	9

Pirates Player Insights

The Pirates are led in runs batted in by Reynolds with a mark of 56, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .268.
Reynolds' home run total places him 68th in MLB, and he is 71st in RBI.
Andrew McCutchen is batting .254 with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 65 walks.
McCutchen is 168th overall in home runs and 211th in RBI this season.
Jack Suwinski has 21 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
Ke'Bryan Hayes is hitting .256 with 18 doubles, six triples, eight home runs and 17 walks.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ke'Bryan Hayes	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+235)
Bryan Reynolds	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+200)
Andrew McCutchen	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+170)
Joshua Palacios	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+195)
Jason Delay	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+295)

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