Mets vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 15

Mets vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 15

Updated Aug. 15, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Pete Alonso and Bryan Reynolds will be among the star attractions when the New York Mets face the Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET, at Citi Field. Oddsmakers list the Mets as -151 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +128 moneyline odds. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +137 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the game.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the New York Mets looking to David Peterson (3-7), and Bailey Falter (0-7) answering the bell for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mets vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Tuesday, August 15, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: SNY
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -151 +128 8.5 -107 -113 -1.5 +137 -163

Mets vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Pirates 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Pirates 46%

Mets vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Mets have won 41, or 56.9%, of the 72 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • New York is 16-22 this season when entering a game favored by -151 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.2% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • The Pirates have won in 39, or 41.5%, of the 94 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 24-29 when favored by +128 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 43.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets have been named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only twice in the last 10 games, and won both matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to go over the total four times.
  • The Mets have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 11
ERA 5.83
K/9 8.6

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Mets Player Insights

  • Alonso has put up a team-best 35 home runs and 88 runs batted in.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Alonso ranks third in homers and fourth in RBI.
  • Alonso has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .143 with a double, six walks and an RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor has 26 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 51 walks while hitting .245.
  • Lindor ranks 24th in home runs and 28th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Brandon Nimmo has accumulated a team-best batting average of .261.
  • Nimmo is on a six-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .324 with two doubles, a home run, six walks and an RBI.
  • Jeff McNeil is hitting .260 with 17 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 33 walks.
  • McNeil has recorded at least one hit in eight games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is batting .361 with a double, two home runs, three walks and seven RBI.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Francisco Lindor 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+140)
Jeff McNeil 1.5 (+205) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+180)
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+135)
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+160)
Brandon Nimmo 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+205)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 3-4.
  • The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Pirates have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 14
ERA 4.79
K/9 9

Pirates Player Insights

  • The Pirates are led in runs batted in by Reynolds with a mark of 56, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .268.
  • Reynolds' home run total places him 68th in MLB, and he is 71st in RBI.
  • Andrew McCutchen is batting .254 with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 65 walks.
  • McCutchen is 168th overall in home runs and 211th in RBI this season.
  • Jack Suwinski has 21 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes is hitting .256 with 18 doubles, six triples, eight home runs and 17 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ke'Bryan Hayes 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+235)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+200)
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+170)
Joshua Palacios 0.5 (-189) 0.5 (-189) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+195)
Jason Delay 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+295)

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