Mets vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 16

Updated Aug. 16, 2023 1:08 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Ke'Bryan Hayes and the Pittsburgh Pirates take the field on Wednesday at Citi Field against Tylor Megill, who is starting for the New York Mets. First pitch will be at 1:10 PM ET for the final game of a three-game series. The Pirates are +101 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Mets (-121). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +162 odds). The over/under for the matchup is listed at 8.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the New York Mets looking to Megill (6-6), and Johan Oviedo (6-12) answering the bell for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mets vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, August 16, 2023 at 1:10 PM ET
Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
How to Watch on TV: SNY

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets	-121	+101	8.5	-119	-101	-1.5	+162	-194

Mets vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Mets 6, Pirates 5
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Pirates 46%

Mets vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Mets have entered the game as favorites 73 times this season and won 41, or 56.2%, of those games.
New York has entered 64 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 33-31 in those contests.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 54.8% chance to win.
The Pirates have come away with 40 wins in the 95 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 37 times in 87 chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 49.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets went 2-1 across the three games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
The Mets' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	13
ERA	5.76
K/9	9.1

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Mets Player Insights

The Mets' best power option comes in the form of Pete Alonso and his 35-dinger 88-RBI season, both team highs.
Among all MLB hitters, Alonso is 129th in batting average, 94th in on-base percentage, and 12th in slugging.
Francisco Lindor is hitting .245 with 26 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 51 walks.
Lindor ranks 26th in home runs and 29th in RBI in the bigs.
Lindor carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
Brandon Nimmo paces the Mets with a team-best batting average of .263.
Nimmo has at least one base hit in seven straight games. In his last 10 games he is batting .351 with two doubles, two home runs, four walks and two RBI.
Jeff McNeil is batting .257 with 17 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 33 walks.

Mets Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jeff McNeil	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+165)
Francisco Lindor	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+165)
Brandon Nimmo	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+225)
Pete Alonso	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+160)
Daniel Vogelbach	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+185)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 4-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
The Pirates have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	15
ERA	5.00
K/9	9.5

Pirates Player Insights

The Pirates are led in runs batted in by Bryan Reynolds with a mark of 57, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .266.
Among all hitters in MLB, Reynolds ranks 69th in homers and 71st in RBI.
Andrew McCutchen is batting .253 with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 67 walks.
McCutchen is 173rd in home runs and 214th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Hayes is hitting .259 with 18 doubles, six triples, eight home runs and 19 walks.
Jack Suwinski has swatted a team-leading 21 home runs.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Andrew McCutchen	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+155)
Ke'Bryan Hayes	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+195)
Jack Suwinski	0.5 (-175)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+295)	0.5 (+130)
Bryan Reynolds	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+165)
Connor Joe	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+175)

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