Mets vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 6

Updated Jul. 6, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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Mark Vientos and the New York Mets take the field on Saturday at PNC Park against Bailey Falter, who is starting for the Pittsburgh Pirates. First pitch is at 4:05 PM ET. The Mets are favored in this one, at -131, while the underdog Pirates have +112 odds to upset. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 9.5 runs for the game (with -105 odds on the over and -116 odds to go under).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 4:05 PM ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Mets vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 6, Mets 5
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Pirates 49%

Mets vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 21, or 50%, of the 42 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York is 9-9 this season when entering a game favored by -131 or more on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 56.7% chance to win.
• The Pirates have been underdogs in 50 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (48%) in those contests.
• This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 13 times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 47.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

NYM 5 · PIT 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-133

O 9.5

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

+113

U 9.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 3-4 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total eight times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor has 25 doubles, 15 home runs and 26 walks while hitting .244.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Lindor's home run total places him 27th, and his RBI tally puts him 52nd.
• Pete Alonso has hit 18 home runs to pace his team.
• Including all MLB hitters, Alonso ranks 14th in home runs and 38th in RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with 52 runs batted in.
• Harrison Bader is hitting .267 with 14 doubles, six home runs and 13 walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Pirates have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with 16 home runs and 54 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .280.
• Reynolds ranks 22nd in homers and 21st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Reynolds has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .318 with three home runs and eight RBI.
• Connor Joe has 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 25 walks while hitting .247.
• Joe is currently 151st in homers and 159th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .229 with eight doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 36 walks.
• Oneil Cruz has 16 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 24 walks while batting .243.

Pirates Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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