Mets vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 7

Updated Jul. 7, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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The New York Mets versus Pittsburgh Pirates game on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET will showcase a pair of hot hitters in Brandon Nimmo and Bryan Reynolds. The favored Mets have -128 moneyline odds against the underdog Pirates, who are listed at +108. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +125 odds). The over/under is 9 runs for the contest (with -109 odds to go over and -111 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday, July 6.

Mets vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: SNY

Mets vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 4, Mets 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Pirates 48%

Mets vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 22, or 51.2%, of the 43 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York has entered 20 games this season favored by -128 or more and is 10-10 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 56.1%.
• The Pirates have been underdogs in 51 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (47.1%) in those contests.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 17 times in 36 chances when named as an underdog of at least +108 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

NYM 3 · PIT 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-129

O 9

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

+109

U 9

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 4-4 across the eight games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Mets have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor is hitting .244 with 25 doubles, 15 home runs and 27 walks.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Lindor's home run total places him 28th, and his RBI tally ranks him 55th.
• Pete Alonso has shown his power as he leads his team with 18 home runs.
• Alonso is 15th in home runs and 38th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Nimmo has racked up a team-best batting average of .249 while leading the Mets in runs batted in (52).
• Harrison Bader is batting .268 with 15 doubles, six home runs and 13 walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 3-4.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Pirates have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Reynolds paces the Pirates with 16 home runs and 54 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .284.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Reynolds ranks 23rd in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
• Reynolds brings a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .429 with three home runs, a walk and eight RBI.
• Connor Joe has 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 25 walks while hitting .244.
• Joe ranks 154th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 162nd in RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .226 with eight doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 37 walks.
• Oneil Cruz has 16 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .244.

Pirates Team Props

Mets vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday, July 6.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 07/07/2024

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