Mets vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 2

Mets vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 2

Updated Sep. 2, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Pete Alonso and Jarren Duran will be among the star attractions when the New York Mets face the Boston Red Sox on Monday at 7:10 p.m. ET, at Citi Field. Bookmakers list the Mets as -117 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Red Sox -102 moneyline odds to win. Boston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under for the game has been set at 8 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, September 2, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: SNY
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -117 -102 8 -113 -107 -1.5 -195 +161

Mets vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Red Sox 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Red Sox 46%

Mets vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Mets have entered the game as favorites 77 times this season and won 44, or 57.1%, of those games.
  • New York is 39-29 this season when entering a game favored by -117 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.9% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 65 games this year and have walked away with the win 33 times (50.8%) in those games.
  • This season, Boston has come away with a win 25 times in 50 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 50.5% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
BOS 1 · NYM 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Boston Red Sox
BOS
New York Mets
NYM

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets won all of the three games it played while the moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
  • The Mets have put together an 8-2-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 13
ERA 3.10
K/9 8.1

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor has been the Mets top run producer this season, leading the team with 80 RBI while hitting .269 with 29 home runs.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Lindor ranks 42nd in batting average, 39th in on-base percentage, and 17th in slugging.
  • Lindor carries a 12-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .302 with four doubles, four home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
  • Alonso has hit 30 home runs to pace his team.
  • Among all major league hitters, Alonso is ninth in home runs and 32nd in RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .231 with 23 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 71 walks.
  • Jesse Winker has a club-leading .272 batting average.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
José Iglesias 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+165) - 0.5 (+210)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-210) 1.5 () - 0.5 (+195)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+200)
Starling Marte 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) - 0.5 (+230)
Harrison Bader 0.5 (-140) 0.5 (-140) - 0.5 (+270)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Red Sox have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Red Sox have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.8
HR 11
ERA 3.24
K/9 8.1

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Duran paces the Red Sox with a team-leading batting average of .295.
  • Duran is 38th in homers and 43rd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Duran carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
  • Rafael Devers been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 28 home runs and 80 runs batted in.
  • Devers is currently 16th in home runs and 22nd in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has 20 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 15 walks while batting .254.
  • Wilyer Abreu has 30 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 34 walks while batting .268.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jarren Duran 1.5 () 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+175)
Rafael Devers 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+145)
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 (-225) 1.5 () - 0.5 (+205)
Connor Wong 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) - 0.5 (+255)
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) - 0.5 (+225)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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