Mets vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 3

Mets vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 3

Updated Sep. 3, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

David Peterson gets the nod for the New York Mets on Tuesday at Citi Field against Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET for the second game of a three-game series. Bookmakers list the Mets as -138 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Red Sox +118 moneyline odds. New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 7.5-run over/under is listed in this game.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the New York Mets and the Boston Red Sox!
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Mets vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, September 3, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -138 +118 7.5 -117 -104 -1.5 +146 -175

Mets vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Red Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mets 55%, Red Sox 45%

Mets vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

  • This season, the Mets have been favored 78 times and won 45, or 57.7%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 24-15 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -138 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 58% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 66 games this year and have walked away with the win 33 times (50%) in those games.
  • This season, Boston has been victorious 10 times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +118 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 45.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
BOS 2 · NYM 7
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Boston Red Sox
BOS
New York Mets
NYM

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets won all of the four games they played while the moneyline favorite over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Mets have put together an 8-2-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 13
ERA 2.89
K/9 8.3

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor comes into Tuesday's game hitting .271 with 81 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Mets. He has also connected on 29 home runs in 2024.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Lindor is 14th in home runs and 23rd in RBI.
  • Lindor carries a 13-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .310 with three doubles, four home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
  • Pete Alonso's 30 home runs lead his team.
  • Alonso is ninth in homers and 34th in RBI in the bigs.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .231 with 24 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 71 walks.
  • Jesse Winker is batting .270 with 23 doubles, 13 home runs and 57 walks.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+170)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+185)
Francisco Álvarez 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) - 0.5 (+260)
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (-170) - 0.5 (+170)
Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) - 0.5 (+270)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and lost both contests.
  • The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Red Sox have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.8
HR 11
ERA 3.27
K/9 8.3

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Duran leads the team in batting average with a mark of .294.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Duran's home run total ranks 39th and his RBI tally ranks 42nd.
  • Duran has collected a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with two doubles, a home run and three RBI.
  • Rafael Devers been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 28 home runs and 80 runs batted in.
  • Devers ranks 17th overall in homers and 26th in RBI this season.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .255 with 20 doubles, five triples, 14 home runs and 15 walks.
  • Wilyer Abreu is hitting .269 with 30 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 34 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Romy Gonzalez 0.5 (-180) 1.5 () - 0.5 (+200)
Rob Refsnyder 0.5 (-230) 1.5 () - 0.5 (+230)
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) - 0.5 (+210)
Danny Jansen 0.5 (-155) 0.5 (-155) - 0.5 (+200)
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (-165) - 0.5 (+240)

Mets vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the New York Mets and the Boston Red Sox!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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