Mets vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Updated Sep. 4, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Tylor Megill will start for the New York Mets on Wednesday at Citi Field against Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET for the final game of a three-game series. The Mets are listed as -118 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Red Sox (-102). Boston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +159 odds). The over/under for the matchup is listed at 8 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Red Sox vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the Boston Red Sox and the New York Mets!

Mets vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, September 4, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: SNY

Mets vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Red Sox 46%

Mets vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 46 out of the 79 games, or 58.2%, in which they've been favored.
• New York is 38-28 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 54.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 67 games this year and have walked away with the win 33 times (49.3%) in those games.
• This year, Boston has won 25 of 51 games when listed as at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 50.5% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

BOS 3 · NYM 8

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Boston Red Sox

BOS

-1.5

-101

O 7.5

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

-119

U 7.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets played as the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and won all of them.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Mets' record against the spread is 9-1-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor has accumulated a team-high batting average of .273 and paces the Mets in runs batted in (84).
• In all of MLB, Lindor is 11th in home runs and 19th in RBI.
• Lindor has collected a hit in 14 straight games. During his last 10 outings he is batting .333 with three doubles, five home runs, two walks and 11 RBI.
• Pete Alonso has shown his power as he leads his team with 31 home runs.
• Of all MLB hitters, Alonso ranks 10th in home runs and 30th in RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has 24 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 71 walks while batting .229.
• Jesse Winker is batting .267 with 23 doubles, 13 home runs and 57 walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Red Sox and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Red Sox are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Duran paces the Red Sox with a .293 batting average.
• Duran is 41st in homers and 43rd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Duran has collected a hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Rafael Devers has hit 28 home runs with 80 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
• Among all major league batters, Devers ranks 18th in home runs and 26th in RBI.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .253 with 20 doubles, five triples, 14 home runs and 15 walks.
• Tyler O'Neill has 16 doubles, 25 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .254.

Red Sox Team Props

Red Sox vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the Boston Red Sox and the New York Mets!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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