Mets vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 15

Updated Sep. 15, 2023 7:06 p.m. ET

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Spencer Steer and the Cincinnati Reds hit the field on Friday at Citi Field against David Peterson, who will start for the New York Mets. First pitch will be at 7:10 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. The Mets are the favorite in this one, at -114, while the underdog Reds have -106 odds to win. Cincinnati is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the contest has been set at 8 runs.

The Mets will start Peterson (3-8) versus the Reds and Hunter Greene (4-6).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Reds game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Mets vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 15, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: SNY

Mets vs. Reds Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Reds 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Reds 47%

Mets vs. Reds Betting Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 84 games this season and won 48 (57.1%) of those contests.
• New York is 44-35 this season when entering a game favored by -114 or more on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 53.3% chance to win.
• The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 110 games this year and have walked away with the win 54 times (49.1%) in those games.
• This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 49 times in 103 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 3-3 over the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• The Mets' best power option comes in the form of Pete Alonso and his 44-homer 109-RBI season, both team highs.
• Alonso's home runs put him second in MLB, and he ranks second in RBI.
• Alonso brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .238 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has 33 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 57 walks while batting .250.
• Among all major league batters, Lindor ranks 30th in home runs and 30th in RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with a team-best batting average of .267.
• Nimmo is on a six-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 outings he is batting .349 with four doubles, a triple, three home runs, two walks and five RBI.
• Jeff McNeil is batting .266 with 22 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 36 walks.
• McNeil brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with two home runs and three RBI.

Learn more about this Mets vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Reds have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Steer has posted a team-high 21 home runs and has driven in 79 runs.
• Steer's home run total places him 65th in the majors, and he is 40th in RBI.
• TJ Friedl's .274 batting average paces his team.
• Friedl is 146th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 123rd in RBI.
• Jonathan India has 20 doubles, 15 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .247.
• Hunter Renfroe is hitting .235 with 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 43 walks.

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