Mets vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Mets vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Updated Sep. 17, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets will look to get to Brandon Williamson when he starts for the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET. The Mets are favored in this one, at -134, while the underdog Reds have +114 odds to play spoiler. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the game has been listed at 9 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the New York Mets looking to Jose Quintana (2-5), and Williamson (4-4) getting the nod for the Cincinnati Reds.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Reds game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Mets vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:40 PM ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: WPIX
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -134 +114 9 -110 -110 -1.5 +146 -175

Mets vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Reds 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Reds 47%

Mets vs. Reds Betting Insights

  • The Mets have been favorites in 86 games this season and won 48 (55.8%) of those contests.
  • New York has entered 54 games this season favored by -134 or more and is 26-28 in those contests.
  • The Mets have a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Reds have been victorious in 56, or 50%, of the 112 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Cincinnati has a mark of 36-36 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +114 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 46.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets went 2-5 across the seven games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Mets' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 11
ERA 3.20
K/9 9.1

Mets Player Insights

  • Alonso has a team-best 45 home runs and 112 runs batted in.
  • In all of MLB, Alonso is second in homers and second in RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor has 33 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 59 walks while hitting .250.
  • Lindor is 31st in homers in MLB, and 32nd in RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo has a team-best batting average of .265.
  • Jeff McNeil has a club-high .265 batting average.

Learn more about this Mets vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • The Reds have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Reds have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 15
ERA 4.80
K/9 8.5

Reds Player Insights

  • Spencer Steer paces the Reds in home runs (22) and runs batted in (81).
  • In all of MLB, Steer is 60th in homers and 40th in RBI.
  • TJ Friedl has a club-high .274 batting average.
  • Friedl ranks 148th overall in homers and 126th in RBI this season.
  • Jonathan India has 20 doubles, 16 home runs and 42 walks while batting .246.
  • Hunter Renfroe has 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 43 walks while hitting .234.
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