Mets vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 7

Mets vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 7

Updated Sep. 7, 2024 3:02 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The New York Mets and Mark Vientos will take on the Cincinnati Reds and Jonathan India on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET, at Citi Field. The Mets are favored in this one, at -158, while the underdog Reds have +134 odds to upset. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5). An 8.5-run total has been set for the game.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Astros vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top plays from the Houston Astros and the Cincinnati Reds.
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Mets vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, September 7, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: SNY
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -158 +134 8.5 -102 -120 -1.5 +132 -158

Mets vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Reds 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Reds 46%

Mets vs. Reds Betting Insights

  • The Mets have been favorites in 81 games this season and won 48 (59.3%) of those contests.
  • New York is 12-5 this season when entering a game favored by -158 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.2% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • The Reds have been victorious in 34, or 45.3%, of the 75 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Cincinnati has won eight of 17 games when listed as at least +134 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
FINAL
CIN 0 · NYM 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
New York Mets
NYM

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets played seven of their last 10 games as the moneyline favorite, and won all of them.
  • In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
  • The Mets have gone 9-1-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 9-1
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 14
ERA 2.60
K/9 10.4

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor comes into Saturday's game as the Mets top run producer, delivering 84 RBI while connecting on 30 home runs in 2024. His .273 average is also best on the squad.
  • Of all batters in MLB, Lindor's home run total places him 12th, and his RBI tally ranks him 22nd.
  • Lindor carries a 16-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .333 with four doubles, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.
  • Pete Alonso's 31 home runs lead his team.
  • Alonso ranks 11th in home runs and 31st in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .230 with 24 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 73 walks.
  • Nimmo is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
  • Jesse Winker is batting .267 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 58 walks.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+135)
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+130)
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+175)
José Iglesias 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+150) - 0.5 (+220)
Francisco Lindor 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+145)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Reds had a record of 4-3.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
  • The Reds have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5
HR 11
ERA 5.23
K/9 8.7

Reds Player Insights

  • Elly De La Cruz paces the Reds with 23 homers while racking up a team-leading batting average of .263.
  • De La Cruz's home run total places him 33rd in the big leagues, and he ranks 59th in RBI.
  • Spencer Steer has totaled 86 runs batted in to lead his team.
  • Steer is 65th among all batters in MLB in homers, and 20th in RBI.
  • India is hitting .248 with 26 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 69 walks.
  • Tyler Stephenson paces the Reds with a .263 batting average.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ty France 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+175)
Spencer Steer 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+140)
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+150)
Amed Rosario 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+185)
TJ Friedl 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (-165) - 0.5 (+225)

Astros vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top plays from the Houston Astros and the Cincinnati Reds.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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