Mets vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 12

Updated Apr. 12, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET

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Bobby Witt Jr. and the Kansas City Royals play the New York Mets on Friday at Citi Field. Luis Severino will be on the mound for New York, with first pitch at 7:10 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Mets as -141 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Royals +119 moneyline odds to win. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's over/under is listed at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, April 12, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Mets vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Royals 7, Mets 6
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Royals 47%

Mets vs. Royals Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored seven times and won two of those games.
• New York has played as favorites of -141 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 58.5%.
• The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in nine games this year and have walked away with the win five times (55.6%) in those games.
• Kansas City has a mark of 1-2 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 45.7% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

KC 1 · NYM 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Kansas City Royals

KC

+1.5

+118

O 8.5

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-141

U 8.5

Mets Player Insights

• Brandon Nimmo has put up a team-best 10 runs batted in.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Nimmo's home run total ranks him 45th, and his RBI tally puts him 22nd.
• Nimmo has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .409 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs, two walks and 10 RBI.
• Starling Marte has a double, a home run and five walks while batting .271.
• Marte is 115th in homers and 194th in RBI on the season.
• Marte carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .364 with three walks and two RBI.
• Pete Alonso has put up a team-best three home runs.
• Alonso will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .190 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Jeff McNeil is hitting .200 with a double, a home run and six walks.
• McNeil takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with a double, four walks and three RBI.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 4-2 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Royals have won eight of their last 10 games against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Witt Jr. has recorded a team- leading batting average of .358, while leading the Royals in long balls with four.
• Among all batters in MLB, Witt Jr.'s home run total ranks sixth and his RBI tally ranks 45th.
• MJ Melendez is hitting .325 with five doubles, three home runs and seven walks.
• Melendez is 15th overall in home runs and 45th in RBI this year.
• Maikel Garcia has racked up a team-best 12 runs batted in.
• Salvador Perez is batting .333 with a double, two home runs and two walks.

Royals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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