Mets vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 1

Updated Aug. 1, 2023 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets will try to beat Bobby Witt Jr. and the Kansas City Royals when the teams meet on Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET. The Royals are +129 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Mets (-152). New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +105 odds). A 9.5-run over/under is set for the game.

The New York Mets will hand the ball to Jose Quintana (0-2, 3.27 ERA), who is looking for win No. 1 on the season, and the Royals will counter with Zack Greinke (1-11, 5.13 ERA).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mets vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, August 1, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets	-152	+129	9.5	-117	-104	-1.5	+105	-125

Mets vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Mets 6, Royals 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Royals 48%

Mets vs. Royals Betting Insights

This season, the Mets have won 39 out of the 68 games, or 57.4%, in which they've been favored.
New York has a record of 16-19, a 45.7% win rate, when favored by -152 or more by oddsmakers this season.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 60.3% chance of a victory for the Mets.
The Royals have come away with 29 wins in the 93 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Kansas City has a mark of 21-47 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +129 or worse on the moneyline.
The Royals have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets went 5-2 over the seven games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
The Mets have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.2
HR	13
ERA	3.83
K/9	8.6

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Mets Player Insights

Lindor is hitting .236 with 23 doubles, two triples, 21 home runs and 46 walks.
Among all batters in the majors, Lindor's home run total places him 20th, and his RBI tally puts him 22nd.
Lindor brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double, two home runs, four walks and three RBI.
Pete Alonso has hit 30 home runs with 75 runs batted in. Both pace his team.
Alonso ranks third in home runs and seventh in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Brandon Nimmo has racked up a team-best batting average of .256.
Jeff McNeil has 16 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 30 walks while batting .252.

Mets Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Pete Alonso	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+295)	0.5 (-105)
Tommy Pham	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+160)
Brandon Nimmo	1.5 (+140)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+180)
Brett Baty	0.5 (-286)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+155)
Daniel Vogelbach	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Royals had a record of 4-6.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
The Royals have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4
HR	15
ERA	4.92
K/9	7.3

Royals Player Insights

Witt Jr. leads the squad with a batting average of .263, while leading the Royals in home runs, with 18 and runs batted in with 60.
Witt Jr. ranks 32nd in homers and 34th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Witt Jr. brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .409 with a double, a triple, two home runs, a walk and nine RBI.
Salvador Perez is hitting .247 with 16 doubles, 17 home runs and 13 walks.
Among all major league hitters, Perez is 41st in homers and 102nd in RBI.
Maikel Garcia has 15 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 21 walks while batting .272.
Edward Olivares is hitting .246 with 15 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 14 walks.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Bobby Witt Jr.	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+140)
Matt Duffy	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+250)
Maikel Garcia	1.5 (+145)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+190)
Salvador Pérez	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+130)
Edward Olivares	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+185)

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