Mets vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29
The New York Mets and Jeff McNeil will take the field against the Minnesota Twins and Carlos Santana on Monday at 7:10 PM ET, in the first game of a three-game series at Citi Field. The Mets are the favorite in this one, at -116, while the underdog Twins have -104 odds to play spoiler. Minnesota is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup is listed at 8.5 runs.
Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Twins vs. Tigers Highlights | MLB on FOX
Mets vs. Twins Game Information & Odds
- When: Monday, July 29, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to Watch on TV: BSN
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mets | -116 | -104 | 8.5 | -107 | -113 | -1.5 | -186 | +153 |
Mets vs. Twins Prediction
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Twins 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Twins 48%
Mets vs. Twins Betting Insights
- The Mets have won 31, or 54.4%, of the 57 games they've played as favorites this season.
- New York has entered 50 games this season favored by -116 or more and is 27-23 in those contests.
- The Mets have a 53.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Twins have been chosen as underdogs in 32 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (40.6%) in those games.
- This season, Minnesota has come away with a win eight times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Twins have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Mets Recent Betting Performance
- The Mets went 3-4 across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Mets are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Mets Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 6-4 |
Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
HR | 16 |
ERA | 3.84 |
K/9 | 10.3 |
Mets Player Insights
- Francisco Lindor's 22 homers in 2024 are the most on the Mets. He's also driven in 62 runs while hitting .255.
- Lindor is 13th in home runs and 27th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- Pete Alonso is batting .244 with 25 doubles, 21 home runs and 43 walks.
- Alonso is 19th in homers and 40th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
- Alonso carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
- Brandon Nimmo has accumulated a team-high 63 runs batted in.
- Jesse Winker's .256 batting average paces his team.
Mets Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+200) |
J.D. Martínez | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+160) |
Francisco Lindor | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+210) |
Jeff McNeil | 0.5 (-185) | 0.5 (-185) | 0.5 (+800) | 0.5 (+235) |
Tyrone Taylor | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+255) |
Learn more about this Mets vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.
Twins Recent Betting Performance
- The Twins have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
- The Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Twins have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Twins Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 5-5 |
Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
HR | 11 |
ERA | 3.46 |
K/9 | 9.5 |
Twins Player Insights
- Santana has swatted a team-high 14 long balls.
- Santana is 64th in homers and 72nd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
- Willi Castro is batting .263 to lead the lineup.
- Among all major league hitters, Castro ranks 183rd in homers and 158th in RBI.
- Jose Miranda is batting .324 with 21 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 14 walks.
- Ryan Jeffers leads the Twins in home runs (14) and runs batted in (48).
Twins Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Royce Lewis | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+175) |
Byron Buxton | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+330) | 0.5 (+160) |
Max Kepler | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+145) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+190) |
Manuel Margot | 0.5 () | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+750) | 0.5 (+240) |
Ryan Jeffers | 0.5 (-175) | 0.5 () | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+195) |
Twins vs. Tigers Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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