Mets vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Updated Jul. 29, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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The New York Mets and Jeff McNeil will take the field against the Minnesota Twins and Carlos Santana on Monday at 7:10 PM ET, in the first game of a three-game series at Citi Field. The Mets are the favorite in this one, at -116, while the underdog Twins have -104 odds to play spoiler. Minnesota is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup is listed at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Twins vs. Tigers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Minnesota Twins and the Detroit Tigers.

Mets vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, July 29, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: BSN

Mets vs. Twins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Twins 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Twins 48%

Mets vs. Twins Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 31, or 54.4%, of the 57 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York has entered 50 games this season favored by -116 or more and is 27-23 in those contests.
• The Mets have a 53.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Twins have been chosen as underdogs in 32 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (40.6%) in those games.
• This season, Minnesota has come away with a win eight times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Twins have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

MIN 2 · NYM 15

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Minnesota Twins

MIN

+1.5

-105

O 8

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-114

U 8

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 3-4 across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Mets are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor's 22 homers in 2024 are the most on the Mets. He's also driven in 62 runs while hitting .255.
• Lindor is 13th in home runs and 27th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Pete Alonso is batting .244 with 25 doubles, 21 home runs and 43 walks.
• Alonso is 19th in homers and 40th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Alonso carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has accumulated a team-high 63 runs batted in.
• Jesse Winker's .256 batting average paces his team.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• The Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Twins have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Santana has swatted a team-high 14 long balls.
• Santana is 64th in homers and 72nd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Willi Castro is batting .263 to lead the lineup.
• Among all major league hitters, Castro ranks 183rd in homers and 158th in RBI.
• Jose Miranda is batting .324 with 21 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 14 walks.
• Ryan Jeffers leads the Twins in home runs (14) and runs batted in (48).

Twins Team Props

Twins vs. Tigers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Minnesota Twins and the Detroit Tigers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets - 07/29/2024

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