Mets vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 30

Mets vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 30

Updated Jul. 30, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Trevor Larnach and the Minnesota Twins hit the field on Tuesday at Citi Field against Sean Manaea, who will start for the New York Mets. First pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Mets as -118 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Twins -101 moneyline odds. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +165 odds). The total for the contest has been set at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Twins vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the New York Mets and Minnesota Twins game on July 29th, 2024.
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Mets vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: SNY
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -118 -101 8.5 -115 -105 -1.5 +165 -200

Mets vs. Twins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Twins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Twins 47%

Mets vs. Twins Betting Insights

  • The Mets have been favorites in 58 games this season and won 32 (55.2%) of those contests.
  • New York is 26-21 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • The Twins have won in 13, or 39.4%, of the 33 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Minnesota has won eight of 26 games when listed as at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 50.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
MIN 0 ยท NYM 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Minnesota Twins
MIN
New York Mets
NYM

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to go over the total five times.
  • The Mets' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 15
ERA 3.40
K/9 10.3

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with 22 round-trippers on the year. He's also hitting .256 with 63 RBI.
  • In all of MLB, Lindor ranks 15th in home runs and 26th in RBI.
  • Lindor carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has hit 22 home runs to lead his team.
  • Alonso is 15th in homers and 34th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Alonso heads into this matchup looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with three doubles, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo has put up a team-best 65 runs batted in.
  • Jesse Winker's .258 batting average paces his team.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+190)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+195)
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+195)
Harrison Bader 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+275)
Jesse Winker 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+260)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Twins have a record of 2-3.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Twins and their opponents are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Twins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 11
ERA 4.80
K/9 9.1

Twins Player Insights

  • Carlos Santana is hitting .243 with 20 doubles, 14 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Santana's home run total ranks 67th and his RBI tally is 72nd.
  • Willi Castro has a club-high .261 batting average.
  • Castro ranks 182nd among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and 160th in RBI.
  • Jose Miranda is batting .324 with 21 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 14 walks.
  • Ryan Jeffers has managed a team-leading 15 home runs and has driven in 49 runs.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manuel Margot 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+245)
Jose Miranda 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+150)
Royce Lewis 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+175)
Willi Castro 0.5 (-210) 1.5 () 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+230)
Byron Buxton 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+270) 0.5 (+145)

Twins vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the New York Mets and Minnesota Twins game on July 29th, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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