Mets vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 25

Updated Jul. 25, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

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The New York Yankees and Gleyber Torres take the field in the first game of a two-game series against Pete Alonso and the New York Mets on Tuesday at Yankee Stadium. The Mets are -115 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Yankees (-105). The Mets are favored on the run line (-1.5). The contest's over/under has been set at 8.5 runs.

The New York Mets will hand the ball to Justin Verlander (4-5, 3.47 ERA), who is looking for win No. 5 on the season, and the Yankees will counter with Domingo German (5-6, 4.52 ERA).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Yankees game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mets vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, July 25, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

Mets vs. Yankees Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Yankees 46%

Mets vs. Yankees Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 63 times this season and won 35, or 55.6%, of those games.
• The Mets have a record of 32-27, a 54.2% win rate, when they're favored by -115 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 53.5% chance to win.
• The Yankees have won in 13, or 40.6%, of the 32 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, the Yankees have won 12 of 28 games when listed as at least -105 or better on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 51.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 3-2 record from the five games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets have put together a 2-8-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

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Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor has 21 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 42 walks while hitting .226.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Lindor ranks 24th in home runs and 20th in RBI.
• Lindor carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .111 with three walks and an RBI.
• Alonso has shown his power as he paces his team with 26 home runs and 63 runs batted in.
• Alonso is fifth in home runs and 17th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Alonso has four games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .333 with two doubles, a triple, a walk and an RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with a .263 batting average.
• Jeff McNeil is batting .248 with 15 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 28 walks.
• McNeil has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a double, a walk and two RBI.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Yankees matchup on Fox Sports.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Yankees have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Over their last 10 games, the Yankees are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Torres has posted a team-best batting average of .264 and paces the Yankees in runs batted in with a mark of 43.
• Torres' home run total puts him 46th in the big leagues, and he ranks 92nd in RBI.
• Torres takes a hitting streak of 13 games into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .381 with a triple, three home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo is batting .253 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 34 walks.
• Rizzo ranks 96th in homers and 105th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Anthony Volpe is hitting .209 with 11 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
• DJ LeMahieu is hitting .233 with 16 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 27 walks.

Yankees Team Props

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Mets vs Yankees!

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