Nationals vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

Updated Sep. 12, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins will play on Thursday at Nationals Park, at 6:45 p.m. ET, with C.J. Abrams and Jake Burger among those expected to produce at the plate. The Marlins are listed as +152 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Nationals (-182). Washington is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Nationals-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Rockies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Miami Marlins and Colorado Rockies game on August 27th, 2024.

Nationals vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, September 12, 2024 at 6:45 p.m. ET
Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Nationals	-182	+152	9	+100	-120	-1.5	+111	-131

Nationals vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Nationals 55%, Marlins 45%

Nationals vs. Marlins Betting Insights

The Nationals have won 12, or 50%, of the 24 games they've played as favorites this season.
Washington has played as favorites of -182 or more once this season and won that game.
The Nationals have a 64.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Marlins have been victorious in 50, or 38.8%, of the 129 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Miami has a win-loss record of 18-33 when favored by +152 or worse by bookmakers this year.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 39.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

Over the last 10 games, the Nationals have been named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers just one time, a game they lost.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Nationals and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
The Nationals' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	8
ERA	5.62
K/9	9.6

Nationals Player Insights

Abrams paces the Nationals with 20 home runs and 65 runs batted in.
In all of MLB, Abrams ranks 59th in home runs and 69th in RBI.
Luis Garcia is batting .284 to pace his team.
Garcia ranks 117th in homers in MLB, and 74th in RBI.
Keibert Ruiz is hitting .228 with 19 doubles, 13 home runs and 15 walks.
Jacob Young has 23 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 27 walks while hitting .255.

Nationals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Luis Garcia	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (-110)	-	0.5 (+155)
Andres Chaparro	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+120)	-	0.5 (+120)
C.J. Abrams	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (-115)	-	0.5 (+135)
Dylan Crews	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+125)	-	0.5 (+165)
James Wood	0.5 (-245)	1.5 (+110)	-	0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Nationals vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Marlins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.3
HR	6
ERA	4.81
K/9	7.7

Marlins Player Insights

Burger has posted a team-leading 25 home runs and has driven in 61 runs.
Burger's home run total puts him 27th in the majors, and he ranks 85th in RBI.
Jesus Sanchez's .246 batting average leads his team.
Sanchez is 93rd overall in homers and 90th in RBI this season.
Otto Lopez has 19 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 21 walks while hitting .256.
Xavier Edwards is hitting .325 with eight doubles, two triples, a home run and 27 walks.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Xavier Edwards	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (+115)	-	-
Connor Norby	0.5 (-255)	1.5 (+100)	-	0.5 (+145)
Jonah Bride	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+140)	-	0.5 (+195)
Otto Lopez	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+115)	-	0.5 (+190)
Jake Burger	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (-135)	-	0.5 (+100)